Recent observations of Miami highs in the low-to-mid 90s, combined with National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts projecting a peak near 90–92°F under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, have anchored trader consensus on the 92–93°F outcome at 71.5% implied probability. Mid-August subtropical conditions—peak solar heating, elevated dew points, and light steering winds—typically support daily maxima 1–3°F above the 91°F climatological normal without major tropical moisture or frontal suppression. Model consensus shows limited afternoon convection to cap temperatures below 94°F, while historical analogs and recent streaks near or above 90°F reinforce the narrow 90–95°F range dominating market pricing. Updated NWS guidance later today remains the key near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日邁阿密的最高溫度？
8月13日邁阿密的最高溫度？
92-93°F 71%
94-95°F 19%
90-91°F 12%
96-97°F <1%
最新
$24,006 交易量
最新
$24,006 交易量
2026-08-13
華氏81度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
71%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
華氏100度或更高
<1%
92-93°F 71%
94-95°F 19%
90-91°F 12%
96-97°F <1%
最新
$24,006 交易量
最新
$24,006 交易量
2026-08-13
華氏81度或以下
$162 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$400 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$598 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$1,086 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$1,914 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$2,661 交易量
12%
92-93°F
$5,137 交易量
71%
94-95°F
$5,940 交易量
19%
96-97°F
$4,539 交易量
1%
98-99°F
$961 交易量
1%
華氏100度或更高
$700 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations of Miami highs in the low-to-mid 90s, combined with National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts projecting a peak near 90–92°F under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, have anchored trader consensus on the 92–93°F outcome at 71.5% implied probability. Mid-August subtropical conditions—peak solar heating, elevated dew points, and light steering winds—typically support daily maxima 1–3°F above the 91°F climatological normal without major tropical moisture or frontal suppression. Model consensus shows limited afternoon convection to cap temperatures below 94°F, while historical analogs and recent streaks near or above 90°F reinforce the narrow 90–95°F range dominating market pricing. Updated NWS guidance later today remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$24,006結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations of Miami highs in the low-to-mid 90s, combined with National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts projecting a peak near 90–92°F under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, have anchored trader consensus on the 92–93°F outcome at 71.5% implied probability. Mid-August subtropical conditions—peak solar heating, elevated dew points, and light steering winds—typically support daily maxima 1–3°F above the 91°F climatological normal without major tropical moisture or frontal suppression. Model consensus shows limited afternoon convection to cap temperatures below 94°F, while historical analogs and recent streaks near or above 90°F reinforce the narrow 90–95°F range dominating market pricing. Updated NWS guidance later today remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24,006結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent observations of Miami highs in the low-to-mid 90s, combined with National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts projecting a peak near 90–92°F under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, have anchored trader consensus on the 92–93°F outcome at 71.5% implied probability. Mid-August subtropical conditions—peak solar heating, elevated dew points, and light steering winds—typically support daily maxima 1–3°F above the 91°F climatological normal without major tropical moisture or frontal suppression. Model consensus shows limited afternoon convection to cap temperatures below 94°F, while historical analogs and recent streaks near or above 90°F reinforce the narrow 90–95°F range dominating market pricing. Updated NWS guidance later today remains the key near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions