Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin peg the August 11 high near 98–99°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the leading market-implied odds of 49% for that bin. A persistent subtropical ridge supports typical late-summer heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture to cap readings, consistent with August climatology showing average highs around 98°F and occasional peaks into the low 100s. Minor model spread on afternoon mixing or isolated convection introduces uncertainty that could shift outcomes into the 100–101°F range (33.5% implied), while updated NWS guidance remains the key near-term catalyst for trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月11日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
8月11日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
98-99°F 49%
100-101°F 37%
102-103°F 13%
96-97°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
89°F或以下
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
49%
100-101°F
34%
102-103°F
13%
104-105°F
10%
106-107°F
6%
攝氏42度（華氏108度）或以上
2%
98-99°F 49%
100-101°F 37%
102-103°F 13%
96-97°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
89°F或以下
$12 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$12 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$5 交易量
2%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
9%
96-97°F
$0 交易量
11%
98-99°F
$21 交易量
49%
100-101°F
$0 交易量
34%
102-103°F
$0 交易量
13%
104-105°F
$0 交易量
10%
106-107°F
$5 交易量
6%
攝氏42度（華氏108度）或以上
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin peg the August 11 high near 98–99°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the leading market-implied odds of 49% for that bin. A persistent subtropical ridge supports typical late-summer heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture to cap readings, consistent with August climatology showing average highs around 98°F and occasional peaks into the low 100s. Minor model spread on afternoon mixing or isolated convection introduces uncertainty that could shift outcomes into the 100–101°F range (33.5% implied), while updated NWS guidance remains the key near-term catalyst for trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$60結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin peg the August 11 high near 98–99°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the leading market-implied odds of 49% for that bin. A persistent subtropical ridge supports typical late-summer heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture to cap readings, consistent with August climatology showing average highs around 98°F and occasional peaks into the low 100s. Minor model spread on afternoon mixing or isolated convection introduces uncertainty that could shift outcomes into the 100–101°F range (33.5% implied), while updated NWS guidance remains the key near-term catalyst for trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$60結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETLatest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin peg the August 11 high near 98–99°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the leading market-implied odds of 49% for that bin. A persistent subtropical ridge supports typical late-summer heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture to cap readings, consistent with August climatology showing average highs around 98°F and occasional peaks into the low 100s. Minor model spread on afternoon mixing or isolated convection introduces uncertainty that could shift outcomes into the 100–101°F range (33.5% implied), while updated NWS guidance remains the key near-term catalyst for trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions