Recent NOAA forecast guidance points to a mid-90s high in Houston on August 14, with afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated thunderstorms likely moderating peak temperatures. This creates tight market-implied odds between the 92-93°F (40.5%) and 94-95°F (35.5%) bins, reflecting model spread on convective timing and cloud cover that can shave 1–3°F off daily maxima in the humid subtropical climate. Historical August averages near 93–95°F provide context, while ongoing Gulf moisture and weak steering flow sustain uncertainty resolved only by final observational data from NWS stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日休斯敦的最高溫度?
92-93°F 41%
94-95°F 36%
90-91°F 12%
96-97°F 6%
華氏81度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
2%
華氏100度或更高
1%
92-93°F 41%
94-95°F 36%
90-91°F 12%
96-97°F 6%
華氏81度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
2%
華氏100度或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent NOAA forecast guidance points to a mid-90s high in Houston on August 14, with afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated thunderstorms likely moderating peak temperatures. This creates tight market-implied odds between the 92-93°F (40.5%) and 94-95°F (35.5%) bins, reflecting model spread on convective timing and cloud cover that can shave 1–3°F off daily maxima in the humid subtropical climate. Historical August averages near 93–95°F provide context, while ongoing Gulf moisture and weak steering flow sustain uncertainty resolved only by final observational data from NWS stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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