Current forecasts from sources like the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam’s August 24 high near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with possible passing showers, aligning closely with the market’s tight 21°C (37%) and 22°C (44%) leads. Typical late-summer conditions feature modest Atlantic influence and variable cloud cover that can suppress or allow peak readings by 1–2°C depending on timing of any weak fronts. Early August warmth has eased, returning temperatures toward the 71°F (22°C) monthly average, yet short-term model runs still differ on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to weigh these narrow uncertainties in steering patterns and precipitation windows, which determine whether the daily maximum settles at the lower or higher end of the narrow range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
22°C 45%
21°C 37%
20°C 12%
23°C 7%
17°C或以下
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
12%
21°C
37%
22°C
45%
23°C
7%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C或以上
1%
22°C 45%
21°C 37%
20°C 12%
23°C 7%
17°C或以下
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
12%
21°C
37%
22°C
45%
23°C
7%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from sources like the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam’s August 24 high near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with possible passing showers, aligning closely with the market’s tight 21°C (37%) and 22°C (44%) leads. Typical late-summer conditions feature modest Atlantic influence and variable cloud cover that can suppress or allow peak readings by 1–2°C depending on timing of any weak fronts. Early August warmth has eased, returning temperatures toward the 71°F (22°C) monthly average, yet short-term model runs still differ on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to weigh these narrow uncertainties in steering patterns and precipitation windows, which determine whether the daily maximum settles at the lower or higher end of the narrow range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions