**Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including BBC Weather, Met Office, and timeanddate.com, indicate a daily high near 33°C for Ankara on August 24, 2026, with some models showing 34–35°C.** This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (53.5% implied probability) and 31–33°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on modest cooling from recent peaks. Late-August climatology drives the positioning: average highs decline from mid-month maxima near 32–34°C as solar insolation decreases and the city’s ~900 m elevation limits extremes. Recent observations confirm temperatures reached 34–36°C on August 22–23 under clear, dry conditions before easing, with no incoming frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter the trajectory. Model consensus emphasizes stable high-pressure influence and light winds, keeping variability low. Historical patterns show Ankara rarely exceeds 35°C this late in the season, supporting the low probabilities (under 5%) for 36°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日安卡拉的最高溫度？
8月24日安卡拉的最高溫度？
32°C 56%
31°C 24%
33°C 16%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
24%
32°C
56%
33°C
16%
34°C
5%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 56%
31°C 24%
33°C 16%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
28°C or below
$9 交易量
1%
29°C
$5 交易量
1%
30°C
$10 交易量
7%
31°C
$25 交易量
24%
32°C
$107 交易量
56%
33°C
$29 交易量
16%
34°C
$12 交易量
5%
35°C
$5 交易量
5%
36°C
$5 交易量
2%
37°C
$5 交易量
2%
38°C or higher
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including BBC Weather, Met Office, and timeanddate.com, indicate a daily high near 33°C for Ankara on August 24, 2026, with some models showing 34–35°C.** This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (53.5% implied probability) and 31–33°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on modest cooling from recent peaks.
Late-August climatology drives the positioning: average highs decline from mid-month maxima near 32–34°C as solar insolation decreases and the city’s ~900 m elevation limits extremes. Recent observations confirm temperatures reached 34–36°C on August 22–23 under clear, dry conditions before easing, with no incoming frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter the trajectory.
Model consensus emphasizes stable high-pressure influence and light winds, keeping variability low. Historical patterns show Ankara rarely exceeds 35°C this late in the season, supporting the low probabilities (under 5%) for 36°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
交易量
$218結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including BBC Weather, Met Office, and timeanddate.com, indicate a daily high near 33°C for Ankara on August 24, 2026, with some models showing 34–35°C.** This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (53.5% implied probability) and 31–33°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on modest cooling from recent peaks.
Late-August climatology drives the positioning: average highs decline from mid-month maxima near 32–34°C as solar insolation decreases and the city’s ~900 m elevation limits extremes. Recent observations confirm temperatures reached 34–36°C on August 22–23 under clear, dry conditions before easing, with no incoming frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter the trajectory.
Model consensus emphasizes stable high-pressure influence and light winds, keeping variability low. Historical patterns show Ankara rarely exceeds 35°C this late in the season, supporting the low probabilities (under 5%) for 36°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$218結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET**Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including BBC Weather, Met Office, and timeanddate.com, indicate a daily high near 33°C for Ankara on August 24, 2026, with some models showing 34–35°C.** This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (53.5% implied probability) and 31–33°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on modest cooling from recent peaks. Late-August climatology drives the positioning: average highs decline from mid-month maxima near 32–34°C as solar insolation decreases and the city’s ~900 m elevation limits extremes. Recent observations confirm temperatures reached 34–36°C on August 22–23 under clear, dry conditions before easing, with no incoming frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter the trajectory. Model consensus emphasizes stable high-pressure influence and light winds, keeping variability low. Historical patterns show Ankara rarely exceeds 35°C this late in the season, supporting the low probabilities (under 5%) for 36°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions