Consensus forecasts from models like those referenced by the National Meteorological Service position Ankara's August 22 high near 34–35°C, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong afternoon solar heating under a stable high-pressure system over the Anatolian plateau. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover support efficient surface warming, consistent with late-summer baselines of 30–33°C but elevated by current conditions. These factors explain why market-implied odds heavily favor 34°C (40%) and 35°C (57%), with only slim probability on outliers. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日安卡拉的最高溫度?
35°C 59%
34°C 40%
36°C 4%
33°C 2%
$10,671 交易量
$10,671 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
40%
35°C
59%
36°C
4%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 59%
34°C 40%
36°C 4%
33°C 2%
$10,671 交易量
$10,671 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
40%
35°C
59%
36°C
4%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Consensus forecasts from models like those referenced by the National Meteorological Service position Ankara's August 22 high near 34–35°C, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong afternoon solar heating under a stable high-pressure system over the Anatolian plateau. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover support efficient surface warming, consistent with late-summer baselines of 30–33°C but elevated by current conditions. These factors explain why market-implied odds heavily favor 34°C (40%) and 35°C (57%), with only slim probability on outliers. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions