Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under persistent high pressure are driving radiational cooling overnight in Ankara, positioning the day's minimum temperature near 15°C according to most models. Dry air with dew points around 10–11°C and minimal cloud cover allow efficient heat loss from the surface at the city's ~900 m elevation, where typical late-August lows range 15–18°C. Slight model differences in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of the pre-dawn minimum explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 13–15°C. Official station readings from Ankara Esenboğa or central sites will determine resolution, with traders weighing historical analogs and current stability against any late forecast adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日安卡拉的最低溫度？
8月22日安卡拉的最低溫度？
15°C 44%
12°C or below 2%
13°C 2%
16°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
12°C or below
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
34%
15°C
44%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
15°C 44%
12°C or below 2%
13°C 2%
16°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
12°C or below
$293 交易量
2%
13°C
$59 交易量
2%
14°C
$56 交易量
34%
15°C
$11 交易量
44%
16°C
$711 交易量
<1%
17°C
$464 交易量
<1%
18°C
$188 交易量
<1%
19°C
$304 交易量
<1%
20°C
$143 交易量
<1%
21°C
$135 交易量
<1%
22°C or higher
$222 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under persistent high pressure are driving radiational cooling overnight in Ankara, positioning the day's minimum temperature near 15°C according to most models. Dry air with dew points around 10–11°C and minimal cloud cover allow efficient heat loss from the surface at the city's ~900 m elevation, where typical late-August lows range 15–18°C. Slight model differences in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of the pre-dawn minimum explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 13–15°C. Official station readings from Ankara Esenboğa or central sites will determine resolution, with traders weighing historical analogs and current stability against any late forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
交易量
$2,586結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under persistent high pressure are driving radiational cooling overnight in Ankara, positioning the day's minimum temperature near 15°C according to most models. Dry air with dew points around 10–11°C and minimal cloud cover allow efficient heat loss from the surface at the city's ~900 m elevation, where typical late-August lows range 15–18°C. Slight model differences in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of the pre-dawn minimum explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 13–15°C. Official station readings from Ankara Esenboğa or central sites will determine resolution, with traders weighing historical analogs and current stability against any late forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,586結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETClear skies and light northeasterly winds under persistent high pressure are driving radiational cooling overnight in Ankara, positioning the day's minimum temperature near 15°C according to most models. Dry air with dew points around 10–11°C and minimal cloud cover allow efficient heat loss from the surface at the city's ~900 m elevation, where typical late-August lows range 15–18°C. Slight model differences in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of the pre-dawn minimum explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 13–15°C. Official station readings from Ankara Esenboğa or central sites will determine resolution, with traders weighing historical analogs and current stability against any late forecast adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions