Forecast consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models positions Ankara’s maximum temperature near 33°C on August 26 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds across the Anatolian plateau. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where typical August highs range 29–32°C, and supports the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 55.5% implied probability alongside 32°C at 31.5%. Minimal model spread and stable synoptic conditions have kept probabilities anchored, though any unexpected afternoon cloud cover or wind shift could alter the peak by 1–2°C before evening observations close at Esenboğa station. Traders weigh these near-term variables heavily given resolution the following day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日安卡拉的最高溫度?
33°C 56%
32°C 32%
34°C 11%
31°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
32%
33°C
56%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
32°C 32%
34°C 11%
31°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
32%
33°C
56%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models positions Ankara’s maximum temperature near 33°C on August 26 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds across the Anatolian plateau. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where typical August highs range 29–32°C, and supports the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 55.5% implied probability alongside 32°C at 31.5%. Minimal model spread and stable synoptic conditions have kept probabilities anchored, though any unexpected afternoon cloud cover or wind shift could alter the peak by 1–2°C before evening observations close at Esenboğa station. Traders weigh these near-term variables heavily given resolution the following day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions