Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to overnight lows of 75–79°F in Austin on August 26, driven by persistent high pressure, light southerly winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies typical of late-summer Central Texas conditions. Historical climatology shows average August lows near 75°F with rare drops below 70°F, supporting the market's leading 71°F-or-below bin at 46% implied probability amid forecast uncertainty in exact minimum timing and microscale variations. Heat advisories through August 26 reflect ongoing above-normal temperatures, while the absence of approaching cold fronts or stronger northerly flow keeps higher bins at lower odds; updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於奧斯汀8月26日的最低溫度？
奧斯汀8月26日的最低溫度？
82-83°F 49%
71°F or below 46%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
71°F or below
46%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
6%
82-83°F 49%
71°F or below 46%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
71°F or below
$0 交易量
46%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
27%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
27%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
27%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
25%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
25%
82-83°F
$5 交易量
49%
84-85°F
$5 交易量
2%
86-87°F
$5 交易量
9%
88-89°F
$5 交易量
1%
90°F or higher
$5 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to overnight lows of 75–79°F in Austin on August 26, driven by persistent high pressure, light southerly winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies typical of late-summer Central Texas conditions. Historical climatology shows average August lows near 75°F with rare drops below 70°F, supporting the market's leading 71°F-or-below bin at 46% implied probability amid forecast uncertainty in exact minimum timing and microscale variations. Heat advisories through August 26 reflect ongoing above-normal temperatures, while the absence of approaching cold fronts or stronger northerly flow keeps higher bins at lower odds; updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$25結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to overnight lows of 75–79°F in Austin on August 26, driven by persistent high pressure, light southerly winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies typical of late-summer Central Texas conditions. Historical climatology shows average August lows near 75°F with rare drops below 70°F, supporting the market's leading 71°F-or-below bin at 46% implied probability amid forecast uncertainty in exact minimum timing and microscale variations. Heat advisories through August 26 reflect ongoing above-normal temperatures, while the absence of approaching cold fronts or stronger northerly flow keeps higher bins at lower odds; updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to overnight lows of 75–79°F in Austin on August 26, driven by persistent high pressure, light southerly winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies typical of late-summer Central Texas conditions. Historical climatology shows average August lows near 75°F with rare drops below 70°F, supporting the market's leading 71°F-or-below bin at 46% implied probability amid forecast uncertainty in exact minimum timing and microscale variations. Heat advisories through August 26 reflect ongoing above-normal temperatures, while the absence of approaching cold fronts or stronger northerly flow keeps higher bins at lower odds; updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions