Official National Weather Service climatological reports for Denver on August 26, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature aligning precisely with the 58-59°F outcome, driving its 99.5% market-implied probability through verified observational data from the primary station. This reflects typical late-summer nocturnal cooling under clear skies and light winds, consistent with seasonal norms around 56°F but shifted slightly higher by recent atmospheric conditions. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, treats the NWS minimum as the definitive resolution criterion. A challenge could arise only from an unlikely post-hoc data revision or use of an alternate station reading outside standard protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日丹佛的最低溫度?
58-59°F 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$1,857 交易量
$1,857 交易量
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
Yes
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
華氏70度或更高
否
58-59°F 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$1,857 交易量
$1,857 交易量
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
Yes
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
華氏70度或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official National Weather Service climatological reports for Denver on August 26, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature aligning precisely with the 58-59°F outcome, driving its 99.5% market-implied probability through verified observational data from the primary station. This reflects typical late-summer nocturnal cooling under clear skies and light winds, consistent with seasonal norms around 56°F but shifted slightly higher by recent atmospheric conditions. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, treats the NWS minimum as the definitive resolution criterion. A challenge could arise only from an unlikely post-hoc data revision or use of an alternate station reading outside standard protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions