Trader consensus has coalesced around an implied 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 78–79°F in Miami on August 26, reflecting the strong alignment between climatological norms and observed conditions. Official National Weather Service data from Miami International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 77°F amid typical late-summer subtropical patterns, with average August lows near 77.6°F driven by persistent maritime tropical air, high dew points near 75°F, and minimal nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus and historical analogs from the past decade show little deviation from this range absent a rare cold front or anomalous northerly flow, both absent in recent monitoring. Resolution hinges on verified station readings, with only an unexpected measurement revision or localized microclimate effect realistically able to shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日邁阿密的最低溫度？
8月26日邁阿密的最低溫度？
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F或更低 <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$11,773 交易量
$11,773 交易量
2026-08-26
67°F或更低
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
是
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86°F或更高
否
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F或更低 <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$11,773 交易量
$11,773 交易量
2026-08-26
67°F或更低
$1,329 交易量
否
68-69°F
$771 交易量
否
70-71°F
$1,108 交易量
否
72-73°F
$526 交易量
否
74-75°F
$1,934 交易量
否
76-77°F
$1,191 交易量
否
78-79°F
$1,074 交易量
是
80-81°F
$2,184 交易量
否
82-83°F
$1,126 交易量
否
84-85°F
$235 交易量
否
86°F或更高
$295 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around an implied 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 78–79°F in Miami on August 26, reflecting the strong alignment between climatological norms and observed conditions. Official National Weather Service data from Miami International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 77°F amid typical late-summer subtropical patterns, with average August lows near 77.6°F driven by persistent maritime tropical air, high dew points near 75°F, and minimal nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus and historical analogs from the past decade show little deviation from this range absent a rare cold front or anomalous northerly flow, both absent in recent monitoring. Resolution hinges on verified station readings, with only an unexpected measurement revision or localized microclimate effect realistically able to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$11,773結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around an implied 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 78–79°F in Miami on August 26, reflecting the strong alignment between climatological norms and observed conditions. Official National Weather Service data from Miami International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 77°F amid typical late-summer subtropical patterns, with average August lows near 77.6°F driven by persistent maritime tropical air, high dew points near 75°F, and minimal nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus and historical analogs from the past decade show little deviation from this range absent a rare cold front or anomalous northerly flow, both absent in recent monitoring. Resolution hinges on verified station readings, with only an unexpected measurement revision or localized microclimate effect realistically able to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,773結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus has coalesced around an implied 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 78–79°F in Miami on August 26, reflecting the strong alignment between climatological norms and observed conditions. Official National Weather Service data from Miami International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 77°F amid typical late-summer subtropical patterns, with average August lows near 77.6°F driven by persistent maritime tropical air, high dew points near 75°F, and minimal nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus and historical analogs from the past decade show little deviation from this range absent a rare cold front or anomalous northerly flow, both absent in recent monitoring. Resolution hinges on verified station readings, with only an unexpected measurement revision or localized microclimate effect realistically able to shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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