Persistent easterly flow and high humidity under tropical moisture are keeping overnight radiative cooling minimal across Miami, with National Weather Service guidance and multiple model runs projecting a minimum near 80–81 °F on 30 August 2026. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty, as heavier rainfall could briefly suppress temperatures into the upper 70s while clearer intervals allow readings to hold in the low 80s. Historical August climatology favors lows around 77–78 °F, yet the current pattern lacks any reinforcing cold advection, aligning trader consensus on the 78–81 °F bins as the most probable outcomes while the narrow spread between leading probabilities reflects sensitivity to exact storm timing and local micro-climate effects.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日邁阿密的最低溫度？
8月30日邁阿密的最低溫度？
80-81°F 51%
76-77°F 25%
74-75°F 5%
華氏73度或以下 2%
$4,051 交易量
$4,051 交易量
2026-08-30
華氏73度或以下
2%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
華氏92度或更高
<1%
80-81°F 51%
76-77°F 25%
74-75°F 5%
華氏73度或以下 2%
$4,051 交易量
$4,051 交易量
2026-08-30
華氏73度或以下
$137 交易量
2%
74-75°F
$313 交易量
8%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
25%
78-79°F
$66 交易量
37%
80-81°F
$190 交易量
30%
82-83°F
$1,266 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$1,171 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$329 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$193 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$203 交易量
<1%
華氏92度或更高
$183 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent easterly flow and high humidity under tropical moisture are keeping overnight radiative cooling minimal across Miami, with National Weather Service guidance and multiple model runs projecting a minimum near 80–81 °F on 30 August 2026. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty, as heavier rainfall could briefly suppress temperatures into the upper 70s while clearer intervals allow readings to hold in the low 80s. Historical August climatology favors lows around 77–78 °F, yet the current pattern lacks any reinforcing cold advection, aligning trader consensus on the 78–81 °F bins as the most probable outcomes while the narrow spread between leading probabilities reflects sensitivity to exact storm timing and local micro-climate effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$4,051結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent easterly flow and high humidity under tropical moisture are keeping overnight radiative cooling minimal across Miami, with National Weather Service guidance and multiple model runs projecting a minimum near 80–81 °F on 30 August 2026. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty, as heavier rainfall could briefly suppress temperatures into the upper 70s while clearer intervals allow readings to hold in the low 80s. Historical August climatology favors lows around 77–78 °F, yet the current pattern lacks any reinforcing cold advection, aligning trader consensus on the 78–81 °F bins as the most probable outcomes while the narrow spread between leading probabilities reflects sensitivity to exact storm timing and local micro-climate effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,051結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETPersistent easterly flow and high humidity under tropical moisture are keeping overnight radiative cooling minimal across Miami, with National Weather Service guidance and multiple model runs projecting a minimum near 80–81 °F on 30 August 2026. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty, as heavier rainfall could briefly suppress temperatures into the upper 70s while clearer intervals allow readings to hold in the low 80s. Historical August climatology favors lows around 77–78 °F, yet the current pattern lacks any reinforcing cold advection, aligning trader consensus on the 78–81 °F bins as the most probable outcomes while the narrow spread between leading probabilities reflects sensitivity to exact storm timing and local micro-climate effects.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions