Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler northerly flow and 40-55% chance of showers or thunderstorms on August 28, driving Ankara's overnight minimum well below recent 17-19°C readings. This advection of milder maritime air, combined with increased cloud cover reducing daytime heating and potential for enhanced nocturnal cooling, positions the low near 11-15°C according to consensus guidance from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service and European models. Trader odds cluster tightly around 44-49% for outcomes in the 10-16°C range because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer mixing could alter the exact minimum by 1-2°C, while the negligible 1% on 17°C reflects clear evidence against warmer conditions. Historical August minima average near 14°C, providing context for the current elevated odds on cooler thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日安卡拉最低溫度？
8月28日安卡拉最低溫度？
20°C或更高 48%
15°C 46%
16°C 46%
13°C 45%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
10°C或以下
35%
11°C
34%
12°C
44%
13°C
45%
14°C
45%
15°C
46%
16°C
46%
17°C
45%
18°C
45%
19°C
35%
20°C或更高
48%
20°C或更高 48%
15°C 46%
16°C 46%
13°C 45%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
10°C或以下
$10 交易量
35%
11°C
$10 交易量
34%
12°C
$0 交易量
44%
13°C
$0 交易量
45%
14°C
$0 交易量
45%
15°C
$0 交易量
46%
16°C
$0 交易量
46%
17°C
$0 交易量
45%
18°C
$0 交易量
45%
19°C
$0 交易量
35%
20°C或更高
$19 交易量
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler northerly flow and 40-55% chance of showers or thunderstorms on August 28, driving Ankara's overnight minimum well below recent 17-19°C readings. This advection of milder maritime air, combined with increased cloud cover reducing daytime heating and potential for enhanced nocturnal cooling, positions the low near 11-15°C according to consensus guidance from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service and European models. Trader odds cluster tightly around 44-49% for outcomes in the 10-16°C range because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer mixing could alter the exact minimum by 1-2°C, while the negligible 1% on 17°C reflects clear evidence against warmer conditions. Historical August minima average near 14°C, providing context for the current elevated odds on cooler thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$39結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler northerly flow and 40-55% chance of showers or thunderstorms on August 28, driving Ankara's overnight minimum well below recent 17-19°C readings. This advection of milder maritime air, combined with increased cloud cover reducing daytime heating and potential for enhanced nocturnal cooling, positions the low near 11-15°C according to consensus guidance from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service and European models. Trader odds cluster tightly around 44-49% for outcomes in the 10-16°C range because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer mixing could alter the exact minimum by 1-2°C, while the negligible 1% on 17°C reflects clear evidence against warmer conditions. Historical August minima average near 14°C, providing context for the current elevated odds on cooler thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$39結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler northerly flow and 40-55% chance of showers or thunderstorms on August 28, driving Ankara's overnight minimum well below recent 17-19°C readings. This advection of milder maritime air, combined with increased cloud cover reducing daytime heating and potential for enhanced nocturnal cooling, positions the low near 11-15°C according to consensus guidance from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service and European models. Trader odds cluster tightly around 44-49% for outcomes in the 10-16°C range because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer mixing could alter the exact minimum by 1-2°C, while the negligible 1% on 17°C reflects clear evidence against warmer conditions. Historical August minima average near 14°C, providing context for the current elevated odds on cooler thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions