**Latest National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to a daily maximum near 100–102°F in Dallas on August 30 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and southerly flow.** This setup favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, pushing temperatures well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of ~94°F. Recent runs show consistent subsidence and warm advection maintaining the heat wave, with heat indices potentially reaching 105–107°F. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 100–101°F bin, reflecting the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance around this range while allowing modest room for 98–99°F or 102–103°F outcomes depending on exact boundary-layer mixing and timing of peak insolation. Official observations from DFW or Love Field stations will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日達拉斯的最高溫度？
8月30日達拉斯的最高溫度？
100-101°F 57%
102-103°F 20%
98-99°F 18%
96-97°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
18%
100-101°F
57%
102-103°F
20%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
2%
華氏110度或更高
1%
100-101°F 57%
102-103°F 20%
98-99°F 18%
96-97°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
91°F or below
$5 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$15 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$142 交易量
2%
96-97°F
$247 交易量
4%
98-99°F
$81 交易量
18%
100-101°F
$483 交易量
57%
102-103°F
$284 交易量
20%
104-105°F
$5 交易量
4%
106-107°F
$45 交易量
2%
108-109°F
$28 交易量
2%
華氏110度或更高
$115 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to a daily maximum near 100–102°F in Dallas on August 30 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and southerly flow.**
This setup favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, pushing temperatures well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of ~94°F. Recent runs show consistent subsidence and warm advection maintaining the heat wave, with heat indices potentially reaching 105–107°F. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 100–101°F bin, reflecting the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance around this range while allowing modest room for 98–99°F or 102–103°F outcomes depending on exact boundary-layer mixing and timing of peak insolation. Official observations from DFW or Love Field stations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,450結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to a daily maximum near 100–102°F in Dallas on August 30 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and southerly flow.**
This setup favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, pushing temperatures well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of ~94°F. Recent runs show consistent subsidence and warm advection maintaining the heat wave, with heat indices potentially reaching 105–107°F. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 100–101°F bin, reflecting the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance around this range while allowing modest room for 98–99°F or 102–103°F outcomes depending on exact boundary-layer mixing and timing of peak insolation. Official observations from DFW or Love Field stations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,450結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET**Latest National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to a daily maximum near 100–102°F in Dallas on August 30 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and southerly flow.** This setup favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, pushing temperatures well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of ~94°F. Recent runs show consistent subsidence and warm advection maintaining the heat wave, with heat indices potentially reaching 105–107°F. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 100–101°F bin, reflecting the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance around this range while allowing modest room for 98–99°F or 102–103°F outcomes depending on exact boundary-layer mixing and timing of peak insolation. Official observations from DFW or Love Field stations will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions