Official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional meteorological services converge on a daytime maximum of 29°C for Incheon on September 6, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This alignment of numerical weather prediction outputs and observed afternoon readings near 27–28°C underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for the 29°C threshold. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical highs around 25–27°C, making the current pattern slightly above average yet stable. Resolution depends on the official station maximum; modest forecast uncertainty remains if late-day convection or measurement adjustments occur, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation to 32°C or below 29°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
9月6日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
29°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$84,953 交易量
$84,953 交易量
2026-09-06
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或以上
否
29°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$84,953 交易量
$84,953 交易量
2026-09-06
23°C或以下
$18,303 交易量
否
24°C
$135 交易量
否
25°C
$245 交易量
否
26°C
$1,105 交易量
否
27°C
$4,237 交易量
否
28°C
$25,801 交易量
否
29°C
$12,587 交易量
是
30°C
$12,036 交易量
否
31°C
$8,608 交易量
否
32°C
$1,485 交易量
否
33°C或以上
$411 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional meteorological services converge on a daytime maximum of 29°C for Incheon on September 6, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This alignment of numerical weather prediction outputs and observed afternoon readings near 27–28°C underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for the 29°C threshold. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical highs around 25–27°C, making the current pattern slightly above average yet stable. Resolution depends on the official station maximum; modest forecast uncertainty remains if late-day convection or measurement adjustments occur, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation to 32°C or below 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$84,953結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional meteorological services converge on a daytime maximum of 29°C for Incheon on September 6, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This alignment of numerical weather prediction outputs and observed afternoon readings near 27–28°C underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for the 29°C threshold. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical highs around 25–27°C, making the current pattern slightly above average yet stable. Resolution depends on the official station maximum; modest forecast uncertainty remains if late-day convection or measurement adjustments occur, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation to 32°C or below 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$84,953結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional meteorological services converge on a daytime maximum of 29°C for Incheon on September 6, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This alignment of numerical weather prediction outputs and observed afternoon readings near 27–28°C underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for the 29°C threshold. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical highs around 25–27°C, making the current pattern slightly above average yet stable. Resolution depends on the official station maximum; modest forecast uncertainty remains if late-day convection or measurement adjustments occur, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation to 32°C or below 29°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions