Recent National Weather Service and private model runs for Chicago O’Hare show a daytime high in the mid-80s on September 8, driven by southwesterly flow ahead of a weak front, modest low-level moisture, and partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit full solar heating. This consensus underpins the market’s tight clustering around 84–87 °F, with the 84–85 °F bin holding the highest implied probability. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and whether any scattered showers develop by afternoon—factors that numerical guidance still resolves differently. Historical September climatology places the average high near 79 °F, so current warmth reflects a lingering warm anomaly, though rapid cooling is expected once the front passes. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles tomorrow morning will provide the next key data points for traders monitoring resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日芝加哥的最高溫度？
9月8日芝加哥的最高溫度？
84-85°F 39%
86-87°F 29%
82-83°F 16%
88-89°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
77°F或以下
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
29%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F或更高
<1%
84-85°F 39%
86-87°F 29%
82-83°F 16%
88-89°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
77°F或以下
$118 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$81 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$173 交易量
5%
82-83°F
$60 交易量
16%
84-85°F
$406 交易量
39%
86-87°F
$254 交易量
29%
88-89°F
$18 交易量
9%
90-91°F
$5 交易量
3%
92-93°F
$77 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$125 交易量
1%
96°F或更高
$125 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs for Chicago O’Hare show a daytime high in the mid-80s on September 8, driven by southwesterly flow ahead of a weak front, modest low-level moisture, and partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit full solar heating. This consensus underpins the market’s tight clustering around 84–87 °F, with the 84–85 °F bin holding the highest implied probability. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and whether any scattered showers develop by afternoon—factors that numerical guidance still resolves differently. Historical September climatology places the average high near 79 °F, so current warmth reflects a lingering warm anomaly, though rapid cooling is expected once the front passes. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles tomorrow morning will provide the next key data points for traders monitoring resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,443結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs for Chicago O’Hare show a daytime high in the mid-80s on September 8, driven by southwesterly flow ahead of a weak front, modest low-level moisture, and partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit full solar heating. This consensus underpins the market’s tight clustering around 84–87 °F, with the 84–85 °F bin holding the highest implied probability. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and whether any scattered showers develop by afternoon—factors that numerical guidance still resolves differently. Historical September climatology places the average high near 79 °F, so current warmth reflects a lingering warm anomaly, though rapid cooling is expected once the front passes. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles tomorrow morning will provide the next key data points for traders monitoring resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,443結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 2:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model runs for Chicago O’Hare show a daytime high in the mid-80s on September 8, driven by southwesterly flow ahead of a weak front, modest low-level moisture, and partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit full solar heating. This consensus underpins the market’s tight clustering around 84–87 °F, with the 84–85 °F bin holding the highest implied probability. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and whether any scattered showers develop by afternoon—factors that numerical guidance still resolves differently. Historical September climatology places the average high near 79 °F, so current warmth reflects a lingering warm anomaly, though rapid cooling is expected once the front passes. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles tomorrow morning will provide the next key data points for traders monitoring resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions