The market's 100% implied probability on a 12°C high for Buenos Aires on September 6 reflects confirmed post-event observations from official Argentine meteorological stations, which recorded a daily maximum of exactly that value under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow. Traders aligned rapidly once preliminary data and model verification aligned with historical September averages around 15–18°C, adjusted downward by recent cool-air advection. This outcome matches the resolution criteria tied to verified maximum temperature readings rather than forecasts. Minor shifts in station selection or late data revisions remain the only realistic paths to any adjustment, though such changes are rare once final reports are issued.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
9月6日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
12°C 100.0%
6°C或以下 <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$47,162 交易量
$47,162 交易量
2026-09-06
6°C或以下
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C或以上
否
12°C 100.0%
6°C或以下 <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$47,162 交易量
$47,162 交易量
2026-09-06
6°C或以下
$232 交易量
否
7°C
$328 交易量
否
8°C
$697 交易量
否
9°C
$1,315 交易量
否
10°C
$20,162 交易量
否
11°C
$8,920 交易量
否
12°C
$10,535 交易量
是
13°C
$2,846 交易量
否
14°C
$1,633 交易量
否
15°C
$359 交易量
否
16°C或以上
$135 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% implied probability on a 12°C high for Buenos Aires on September 6 reflects confirmed post-event observations from official Argentine meteorological stations, which recorded a daily maximum of exactly that value under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow. Traders aligned rapidly once preliminary data and model verification aligned with historical September averages around 15–18°C, adjusted downward by recent cool-air advection. This outcome matches the resolution criteria tied to verified maximum temperature readings rather than forecasts. Minor shifts in station selection or late data revisions remain the only realistic paths to any adjustment, though such changes are rare once final reports are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$47,162結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% implied probability on a 12°C high for Buenos Aires on September 6 reflects confirmed post-event observations from official Argentine meteorological stations, which recorded a daily maximum of exactly that value under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow. Traders aligned rapidly once preliminary data and model verification aligned with historical September averages around 15–18°C, adjusted downward by recent cool-air advection. This outcome matches the resolution criteria tied to verified maximum temperature readings rather than forecasts. Minor shifts in station selection or late data revisions remain the only realistic paths to any adjustment, though such changes are rare once final reports are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$47,162結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The market's 100% implied probability on a 12°C high for Buenos Aires on September 6 reflects confirmed post-event observations from official Argentine meteorological stations, which recorded a daily maximum of exactly that value under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow. Traders aligned rapidly once preliminary data and model verification aligned with historical September averages around 15–18°C, adjusted downward by recent cool-air advection. This outcome matches the resolution criteria tied to verified maximum temperature readings rather than forecasts. Minor shifts in station selection or late data revisions remain the only realistic paths to any adjustment, though such changes are rare once final reports are issued.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions