Official forecasts from Environment Canada for September 6 in Toronto call for a mix of sun and cloud with a daytime high of 23°C and humidex values near 27–28, driven by light easterly to northeasterly flow and limited daytime heating under stable early-September conditions. Model guidance including GFS aligns closely, projecting afternoon temperatures in the 21–24°C range amid modest cloud cover and low precipitation chances. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 23.8°C, providing context for why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–24°C, with 23°C holding the plurality as traders weigh minor forecast spread and typical observational variability at Pearson Airport. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to steering patterns remain the key variables that could shift the final recorded maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日多倫多氣溫最高?
23°C 49%
22°C 26%
24°C 17%
21°C 6%
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
26%
23°C
49%
24°C
17%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
23°C 49%
22°C 26%
24°C 17%
21°C 6%
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
26%
23°C
49%
24°C
17%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Environment Canada for September 6 in Toronto call for a mix of sun and cloud with a daytime high of 23°C and humidex values near 27–28, driven by light easterly to northeasterly flow and limited daytime heating under stable early-September conditions. Model guidance including GFS aligns closely, projecting afternoon temperatures in the 21–24°C range amid modest cloud cover and low precipitation chances. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 23.8°C, providing context for why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–24°C, with 23°C holding the plurality as traders weigh minor forecast spread and typical observational variability at Pearson Airport. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to steering patterns remain the key variables that could shift the final recorded maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions