Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from ECMWF and GFS, indicate a high near 11–12°C for Buenos Aires on September 7 under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly flow following a cool southerly outbreak. This setup favors modest daytime warming without strong solar heating or southerly advection, keeping readings below early-spring climatological norms of 18–20°C. Trader consensus around 13°C (42.5% implied probability) and 14°C (26%) reflects model agreement on this range, with lower probabilities for 12°C or warmer outcomes tied to potential forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind direction. New model cycles and observational updates from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
9月7日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
13°C 43%
14°C 27%
12°C 15%
15°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
7°C或以下
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
15%
13°C
43%
14°C
27%
15°C
8%
16°C
3%
17°C或以上
2%
13°C 43%
14°C 27%
12°C 15%
15°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
7°C或以下
$299 交易量
<1%
8°C
$197 交易量
<1%
9°C
$135 交易量
<1%
10°C
$57 交易量
2%
11°C
$81 交易量
6%
12°C
$66 交易量
15%
13°C
$748 交易量
43%
14°C
$404 交易量
27%
15°C
$68 交易量
8%
16°C
$56 交易量
3%
17°C或以上
$80 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from ECMWF and GFS, indicate a high near 11–12°C for Buenos Aires on September 7 under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly flow following a cool southerly outbreak. This setup favors modest daytime warming without strong solar heating or southerly advection, keeping readings below early-spring climatological norms of 18–20°C. Trader consensus around 13°C (42.5% implied probability) and 14°C (26%) reflects model agreement on this range, with lower probabilities for 12°C or warmer outcomes tied to potential forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind direction. New model cycles and observational updates from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 5, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$2,172結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from ECMWF and GFS, indicate a high near 11–12°C for Buenos Aires on September 7 under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly flow following a cool southerly outbreak. This setup favors modest daytime warming without strong solar heating or southerly advection, keeping readings below early-spring climatological norms of 18–20°C. Trader consensus around 13°C (42.5% implied probability) and 14°C (26%) reflects model agreement on this range, with lower probabilities for 12°C or warmer outcomes tied to potential forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind direction. New model cycles and observational updates from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,172結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 8:55 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from ECMWF and GFS, indicate a high near 11–12°C for Buenos Aires on September 7 under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly flow following a cool southerly outbreak. This setup favors modest daytime warming without strong solar heating or southerly advection, keeping readings below early-spring climatological norms of 18–20°C. Trader consensus around 13°C (42.5% implied probability) and 14°C (26%) reflects model agreement on this range, with lower probabilities for 12°C or warmer outcomes tied to potential forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind direction. New model cycles and observational updates from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions