**Official NWS observations from Central Park confirm a minimum temperature of 66–67°F on September 7, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 100% consensus on that bin.** This value sits slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.3°F for the date and reflects typical late-summer conditions under clear skies and light winds, with no significant cold-air advection or radiational cooling overnight. Nearby stations reported comparable lows in the low-to-mid 60s, reinforcing the reading. The near-certainty in trader pricing stems from real-time access to preliminary climatological data (CF6 reports) and the low likelihood of post-publication revisions at this stage. The only realistic challenges would involve an unusually large official data correction or a market-specific rule change in station or timing criteria, both of which remain improbable given established NOAA protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日紐約市的最低溫度?
66-67°F 100.0%
華氏55度或以下 <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$7,660 交易量
$7,660 交易量
華氏55度或以下
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
是
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74°F或以上
否
66-67°F 100.0%
華氏55度或以下 <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$7,660 交易量
$7,660 交易量
華氏55度或以下
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
是
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74°F或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Official NWS observations from Central Park confirm a minimum temperature of 66–67°F on September 7, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 100% consensus on that bin.** This value sits slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.3°F for the date and reflects typical late-summer conditions under clear skies and light winds, with no significant cold-air advection or radiational cooling overnight. Nearby stations reported comparable lows in the low-to-mid 60s, reinforcing the reading. The near-certainty in trader pricing stems from real-time access to preliminary climatological data (CF6 reports) and the low likelihood of post-publication revisions at this stage. The only realistic challenges would involve an unusually large official data correction or a market-specific rule change in station or timing criteria, both of which remain improbable given established NOAA protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions