**Forecast model consensus and real-time observations from regional meteorological networks have driven near-unanimous trader positioning on a 35°C daily maximum for Guangzhou on September 7.** Current conditions feature partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high humidity typical of late-summer subtropical patterns, supporting strong daytime heating that aligns with this threshold. Historical data show September 7 averages near 32.6°C with occasional peaks to 35.2°C, and recent model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate the diurnal maximum will crest at or very near 35°C. With resolution dependent on official station readings, any last-hour shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the exact peak, though the tight clustering of outcomes around 35°C reflects high confidence in the current data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日廣州最高溫度?
35°C 100%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$35,960 交易量
$35,960 交易量
29°C或以下
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
是
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C或以上
否
35°C 100%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$35,960 交易量
$35,960 交易量
29°C或以下
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
是
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Forecast model consensus and real-time observations from regional meteorological networks have driven near-unanimous trader positioning on a 35°C daily maximum for Guangzhou on September 7.** Current conditions feature partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high humidity typical of late-summer subtropical patterns, supporting strong daytime heating that aligns with this threshold. Historical data show September 7 averages near 32.6°C with occasional peaks to 35.2°C, and recent model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate the diurnal maximum will crest at or very near 35°C. With resolution dependent on official station readings, any last-hour shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the exact peak, though the tight clustering of outcomes around 35°C reflects high confidence in the current data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions