Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Paris on September 4, 2026, driven by mild overnight conditions under variable high clouds, light westerly winds, and dew points supporting limited radiative cooling after a daytime high around 28–29°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, where average lows hover near 13–15°C but current synoptic patterns favor warmer readings. Trader consensus at 93% for 19°C reflects high model agreement and the absence of cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes that could drop readings to 16°C or below. An unexpected shift in steering flow or enhanced nocturnal cooling could still push the low lower before dawn, though such revisions appear unlikely given stable pressure fields.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日巴黎最低溫度？
9月4日巴黎最低溫度？
19°C 100%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$5,906 交易量
$5,906 交易量
2026-09-04
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
19°C 100%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$5,906 交易量
$5,906 交易量
2026-09-04
14°C或以下
$44 交易量
否
15°C
$12 交易量
否
16°C
$22 交易量
否
17°C
$222 交易量
否
18°C
$355 交易量
否
19°C
$4,275 交易量
是
20°C
$842 交易量
否
21°C
$20 交易量
否
22°C
$45 交易量
否
23°C
$35 交易量
否
24°C或以上
$35 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Paris on September 4, 2026, driven by mild overnight conditions under variable high clouds, light westerly winds, and dew points supporting limited radiative cooling after a daytime high around 28–29°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, where average lows hover near 13–15°C but current synoptic patterns favor warmer readings. Trader consensus at 93% for 19°C reflects high model agreement and the absence of cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes that could drop readings to 16°C or below. An unexpected shift in steering flow or enhanced nocturnal cooling could still push the low lower before dawn, though such revisions appear unlikely given stable pressure fields.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$5,906結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Paris on September 4, 2026, driven by mild overnight conditions under variable high clouds, light westerly winds, and dew points supporting limited radiative cooling after a daytime high around 28–29°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, where average lows hover near 13–15°C but current synoptic patterns favor warmer readings. Trader consensus at 93% for 19°C reflects high model agreement and the absence of cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes that could drop readings to 16°C or below. An unexpected shift in steering flow or enhanced nocturnal cooling could still push the low lower before dawn, though such revisions appear unlikely given stable pressure fields.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,906結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Paris on September 4, 2026, driven by mild overnight conditions under variable high clouds, light westerly winds, and dew points supporting limited radiative cooling after a daytime high around 28–29°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, where average lows hover near 13–15°C but current synoptic patterns favor warmer readings. Trader consensus at 93% for 19°C reflects high model agreement and the absence of cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes that could drop readings to 16°C or below. An unexpected shift in steering flow or enhanced nocturnal cooling could still push the low lower before dawn, though such revisions appear unlikely given stable pressure fields.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions