Recent high-resolution model consensus from sources like GFS and European ensembles indicates the overnight minimum in Paris on September 3 will reach approximately 17°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and dew points near 15–17°C. This positioning aligns with observed trends showing warmer-than-climatological conditions persisting into early September, with no significant cold advection or radiative cooling enhancement expected before the daily minimum occurs. Official resolution will hinge on the precise station reading, typically the Paris-Montsouris or similar reference site. A faster-than-forecast drop in boundary-layer moisture or an unpredicted clear-sky radiative event could push readings to 16°C or lower, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely before data cutoff.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日巴黎最低溫度？
9月3日巴黎最低溫度？
17°C 100%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$10,170 交易量
$10,170 交易量
2026-09-03
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或以上
否
17°C 100%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$10,170 交易量
$10,170 交易量
2026-09-03
11°C或以下
$358 交易量
否
12°C
$195 交易量
否
13°C
$161 交易量
否
14°C
$755 交易量
否
15°C
$521 交易量
否
16°C
$3,578 交易量
否
17°C
$3,485 交易量
是
18°C
$764 交易量
否
19°C
$231 交易量
否
20°C
$55 交易量
否
21°C或以上
$67 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model consensus from sources like GFS and European ensembles indicates the overnight minimum in Paris on September 3 will reach approximately 17°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and dew points near 15–17°C. This positioning aligns with observed trends showing warmer-than-climatological conditions persisting into early September, with no significant cold advection or radiative cooling enhancement expected before the daily minimum occurs. Official resolution will hinge on the precise station reading, typically the Paris-Montsouris or similar reference site. A faster-than-forecast drop in boundary-layer moisture or an unpredicted clear-sky radiative event could push readings to 16°C or lower, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely before data cutoff.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$10,170結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model consensus from sources like GFS and European ensembles indicates the overnight minimum in Paris on September 3 will reach approximately 17°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and dew points near 15–17°C. This positioning aligns with observed trends showing warmer-than-climatological conditions persisting into early September, with no significant cold advection or radiative cooling enhancement expected before the daily minimum occurs. Official resolution will hinge on the precise station reading, typically the Paris-Montsouris or similar reference site. A faster-than-forecast drop in boundary-layer moisture or an unpredicted clear-sky radiative event could push readings to 16°C or lower, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely before data cutoff.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,170結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent high-resolution model consensus from sources like GFS and European ensembles indicates the overnight minimum in Paris on September 3 will reach approximately 17°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and dew points near 15–17°C. This positioning aligns with observed trends showing warmer-than-climatological conditions persisting into early September, with no significant cold advection or radiative cooling enhancement expected before the daily minimum occurs. Official resolution will hinge on the precise station reading, typically the Paris-Montsouris or similar reference site. A faster-than-forecast drop in boundary-layer moisture or an unpredicted clear-sky radiative event could push readings to 16°C or lower, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely before data cutoff.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions