Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a daytime high of 24–25°C in Milan on September 24 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly or variable winds, and minimal precipitation risk, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 48.5% and 38.5% implied probability. Stable high-pressure conditions and September climatology near 24°C support this range, with limited model spread reducing odds for 23°C or 26°C. Traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance and observational trends ahead of final resolution based on official station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月24日米蘭的最高溫度?
24°C 49%
25°C 39%
23°C 10%
26°C 6%
21°C或以下
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
10%
24°C
49%
25°C
39%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
<1%
24°C 49%
25°C 39%
23°C 10%
26°C 6%
21°C或以下
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
10%
24°C
49%
25°C
39%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a daytime high of 24–25°C in Milan on September 24 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly or variable winds, and minimal precipitation risk, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 48.5% and 38.5% implied probability. Stable high-pressure conditions and September climatology near 24°C support this range, with limited model spread reducing odds for 23°C or 26°C. Traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance and observational trends ahead of final resolution based on official station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions