**Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 29 show an overnight minimum near 18–19°C under partly cloudy to clearing skies following scattered rain on the 28th.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Weather Atlas, WindBorne, and Yr.no, indicate the daily low will occur in the early morning hours around 18–20°C, with daytime highs reaching 29–32°C amid light westerly winds and low precipitation chances. This aligns with typical late-August conditions in the region, where post-frontal clearing allows moderate radiational cooling but residual humidity and weak winds limit further drops. **The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C reflects minor divergences among numerical weather prediction models regarding exact overnight cooling rates.** Clearer skies and drier air could enhance surface cooling to the lower end of that range, while any lingering low-level moisture or slightly stronger winds would favor 19°C. No strong cold advection or anomalous pattern is expected to push values notably lower or higher. Traders are monitoring the latest ECMWF and GFS runs plus official updates from the China Meteorological Administration for refinements ahead of the overnight period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日北京最低溫度？
8月29日北京最低溫度？
14°C or below 84%
16°C 46%
19°C 44%
18°C 41%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
14°C or below
84%
15°C
5%
16°C
46%
17°C
35%
18°C
41%
19°C
44%
20°C
40%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
4%
14°C or below 84%
16°C 46%
19°C 44%
18°C 41%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
14°C or below
$5 交易量
84%
15°C
$56 交易量
5%
16°C
$0 交易量
46%
17°C
$0 交易量
35%
18°C
$0 交易量
41%
19°C
$0 交易量
44%
20°C
$0 交易量
40%
21°C
$95 交易量
7%
22°C
$5 交易量
2%
23°C
$5 交易量
8%
24°C or higher
$5 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 29 show an overnight minimum near 18–19°C under partly cloudy to clearing skies following scattered rain on the 28th.**
Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Weather Atlas, WindBorne, and Yr.no, indicate the daily low will occur in the early morning hours around 18–20°C, with daytime highs reaching 29–32°C amid light westerly winds and low precipitation chances. This aligns with typical late-August conditions in the region, where post-frontal clearing allows moderate radiational cooling but residual humidity and weak winds limit further drops.
**The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C reflects minor divergences among numerical weather prediction models regarding exact overnight cooling rates.** Clearer skies and drier air could enhance surface cooling to the lower end of that range, while any lingering low-level moisture or slightly stronger winds would favor 19°C. No strong cold advection or anomalous pattern is expected to push values notably lower or higher.
Traders are monitoring the latest ECMWF and GFS runs plus official updates from the China Meteorological Administration for refinements ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$171結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 29 show an overnight minimum near 18–19°C under partly cloudy to clearing skies following scattered rain on the 28th.**
Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Weather Atlas, WindBorne, and Yr.no, indicate the daily low will occur in the early morning hours around 18–20°C, with daytime highs reaching 29–32°C amid light westerly winds and low precipitation chances. This aligns with typical late-August conditions in the region, where post-frontal clearing allows moderate radiational cooling but residual humidity and weak winds limit further drops.
**The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C reflects minor divergences among numerical weather prediction models regarding exact overnight cooling rates.** Clearer skies and drier air could enhance surface cooling to the lower end of that range, while any lingering low-level moisture or slightly stronger winds would favor 19°C. No strong cold advection or anomalous pattern is expected to push values notably lower or higher.
Traders are monitoring the latest ECMWF and GFS runs plus official updates from the China Meteorological Administration for refinements ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$171結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 29 show an overnight minimum near 18–19°C under partly cloudy to clearing skies following scattered rain on the 28th.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Weather Atlas, WindBorne, and Yr.no, indicate the daily low will occur in the early morning hours around 18–20°C, with daytime highs reaching 29–32°C amid light westerly winds and low precipitation chances. This aligns with typical late-August conditions in the region, where post-frontal clearing allows moderate radiational cooling but residual humidity and weak winds limit further drops. **The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C reflects minor divergences among numerical weather prediction models regarding exact overnight cooling rates.** Clearer skies and drier air could enhance surface cooling to the lower end of that range, while any lingering low-level moisture or slightly stronger winds would favor 19°C. No strong cold advection or anomalous pattern is expected to push values notably lower or higher. Traders are monitoring the latest ECMWF and GFS runs plus official updates from the China Meteorological Administration for refinements ahead of the overnight period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions