Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover over Beijing have cooled surface temperatures ahead of August 28, with official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicating a minimum near 18–20°C under northerly flow and lingering showers. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 20°C for the date while reflecting a short-term departure driven by weak cold-air advection and reduced insolation. Model consensus shows limited spread in overnight radiative cooling potential, but variability in exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing could shift the realized minimum across the 18–22°C range. Traders weigh these near-term dynamical factors against the narrow historical envelope, where extremes below 15°C or above 23°C remain rare in late August.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日北京最低溫度?
15°C or below 100%
16°C 100%
17°C 100%
18°C 100%
15°C or below
100%
16°C
100%
17°C
100%
18°C
100%
19°C
100%
20°C
100%
21°C
100%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C or higher
100%
15°C or below 100%
16°C 100%
17°C 100%
18°C 100%
15°C or below
100%
16°C
100%
17°C
100%
18°C
100%
19°C
100%
20°C
100%
21°C
100%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover over Beijing have cooled surface temperatures ahead of August 28, with official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicating a minimum near 18–20°C under northerly flow and lingering showers. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 20°C for the date while reflecting a short-term departure driven by weak cold-air advection and reduced insolation. Model consensus shows limited spread in overnight radiative cooling potential, but variability in exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing could shift the realized minimum across the 18–22°C range. Traders weigh these near-term dynamical factors against the narrow historical envelope, where extremes below 15°C or above 23°C remain rare in late August.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions