Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light northerly winds overnight into August 30, promoting radiative cooling after scattered rain on August 28 that dropped the prior minimum to 18.1°C. This setup favors a low near 18°C, with trader emphasis on that outcome reflecting the balance between typical late-August climatological normals around 19–20°C and potential for slightly enhanced cooling under dry, calm conditions. Model spreads arise mainly from small differences in boundary-layer humidity and wind speed, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources consistently projects 18–20°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日北京最低溫度？
8月30日北京最低溫度？
15°C 47%
18°C 40%
23°C or higher 33%
17°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
13°C or below
14%
14°C
31%
15°C
47%
16°C
26%
17°C
32%
18°C
40%
19°C
26%
20°C
25%
21°C
6%
22°C
14%
23°C or higher
33%
15°C 47%
18°C 40%
23°C or higher 33%
17°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
13°C or below
$5 交易量
14%
14°C
$0 交易量
31%
15°C
$0 交易量
47%
16°C
$0 交易量
26%
17°C
$0 交易量
32%
18°C
$0 交易量
40%
19°C
$0 交易量
26%
20°C
$0 交易量
25%
21°C
$224 交易量
6%
22°C
$5 交易量
14%
23°C or higher
$5 交易量
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light northerly winds overnight into August 30, promoting radiative cooling after scattered rain on August 28 that dropped the prior minimum to 18.1°C. This setup favors a low near 18°C, with trader emphasis on that outcome reflecting the balance between typical late-August climatological normals around 19–20°C and potential for slightly enhanced cooling under dry, calm conditions. Model spreads arise mainly from small differences in boundary-layer humidity and wind speed, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources consistently projects 18–20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$239結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light northerly winds overnight into August 30, promoting radiative cooling after scattered rain on August 28 that dropped the prior minimum to 18.1°C. This setup favors a low near 18°C, with trader emphasis on that outcome reflecting the balance between typical late-August climatological normals around 19–20°C and potential for slightly enhanced cooling under dry, calm conditions. Model spreads arise mainly from small differences in boundary-layer humidity and wind speed, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources consistently projects 18–20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$239結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light northerly winds overnight into August 30, promoting radiative cooling after scattered rain on August 28 that dropped the prior minimum to 18.1°C. This setup favors a low near 18°C, with trader emphasis on that outcome reflecting the balance between typical late-August climatological normals around 19–20°C and potential for slightly enhanced cooling under dry, calm conditions. Model spreads arise mainly from small differences in boundary-layer humidity and wind speed, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources consistently projects 18–20°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions