Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Houston on August 29 points to sunny skies, light easterly winds, and a modest 20% afternoon thunderstorm chance, supporting daytime highs near 95–97°F amid typical late-summer Gulf moisture. This aligns with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 47.5% implied probability, followed closely by 94–95°F, as the region emerges from an earlier August hot spell that produced several 99–101°F readings but shows slight moderation in steering patterns. Low precipitation totals and stable high pressure minimize cooling from clouds or outflow, while climatological norms for late August place average highs near 93–95°F. New model runs and NWS updates tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift resolution odds within the narrow temperature bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日休斯敦的最高溫度？
8月29日休斯敦的最高溫度？
96-97°F 48%
94-95°F 36%
98-99°F 16%
92-93°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
華氏83度或以下
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
48%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
2%
102°F或以上
<1%
96-97°F 48%
94-95°F 36%
98-99°F 16%
92-93°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
華氏83度或以下
$188 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$217 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$386 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$220 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$70 交易量
2%
92-93°F
$378 交易量
4%
94-95°F
$1,525 交易量
36%
96-97°F
$2,287 交易量
48%
98-99°F
$453 交易量
16%
100-101°F
$110 交易量
2%
102°F或以上
$202 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Houston on August 29 points to sunny skies, light easterly winds, and a modest 20% afternoon thunderstorm chance, supporting daytime highs near 95–97°F amid typical late-summer Gulf moisture. This aligns with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 47.5% implied probability, followed closely by 94–95°F, as the region emerges from an earlier August hot spell that produced several 99–101°F readings but shows slight moderation in steering patterns. Low precipitation totals and stable high pressure minimize cooling from clouds or outflow, while climatological norms for late August place average highs near 93–95°F. New model runs and NWS updates tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift resolution odds within the narrow temperature bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
交易量
$6,036結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Houston on August 29 points to sunny skies, light easterly winds, and a modest 20% afternoon thunderstorm chance, supporting daytime highs near 95–97°F amid typical late-summer Gulf moisture. This aligns with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 47.5% implied probability, followed closely by 94–95°F, as the region emerges from an earlier August hot spell that produced several 99–101°F readings but shows slight moderation in steering patterns. Low precipitation totals and stable high pressure minimize cooling from clouds or outflow, while climatological norms for late August place average highs near 93–95°F. New model runs and NWS updates tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift resolution odds within the narrow temperature bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,036結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Houston on August 29 points to sunny skies, light easterly winds, and a modest 20% afternoon thunderstorm chance, supporting daytime highs near 95–97°F amid typical late-summer Gulf moisture. This aligns with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 47.5% implied probability, followed closely by 94–95°F, as the region emerges from an earlier August hot spell that produced several 99–101°F readings but shows slight moderation in steering patterns. Low precipitation totals and stable high pressure minimize cooling from clouds or outflow, while climatological norms for late August place average highs near 93–95°F. New model runs and NWS updates tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift resolution odds within the narrow temperature bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions