**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate an overnight low for August 27 near 70–74°F in New York City, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and expected thunderstorms.** These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies and elevated dew points, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to clearer, drier nights. Recent model runs show the daily minimum likely occurring in the early morning hours, with Central Park and airport sites projected around 70–71°F as the most probable range. Trader positioning on 70–71°F (37.5%) and 72–73°F (27%) aligns with this consensus, while the notable share on 78°F or higher may reflect uncertainty around storm timing or localized urban heat retention. Historical August lows in NYC often fall in the mid-to-upper 60s under similar patterns, but the current setup favors warmer readings. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations on August 27 will provide the decisive data for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月27日紐約市的最低溫度？
70-71°F 38%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 21%
78°F或更高 20%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
59°F或以下
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
12%
78°F或更高
20%
70-71°F 38%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 21%
78°F或更高 20%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
59°F或以下
$48 交易量
1%
60-61°F
$43 交易量
1%
62-63°F
$27 交易量
2%
64-65°F
$22 交易量
2%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
9%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
5%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
38%
72-73°F
$108 交易量
27%
74-75°F
$5 交易量
21%
76-77°F
$5 交易量
12%
78°F或更高
$27 交易量
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate an overnight low for August 27 near 70–74°F in New York City, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and expected thunderstorms.**
These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies and elevated dew points, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to clearer, drier nights. Recent model runs show the daily minimum likely occurring in the early morning hours, with Central Park and airport sites projected around 70–71°F as the most probable range.
Trader positioning on 70–71°F (37.5%) and 72–73°F (27%) aligns with this consensus, while the notable share on 78°F or higher may reflect uncertainty around storm timing or localized urban heat retention. Historical August lows in NYC often fall in the mid-to-upper 60s under similar patterns, but the current setup favors warmer readings. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations on August 27 will provide the decisive data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$285結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate an overnight low for August 27 near 70–74°F in New York City, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and expected thunderstorms.**
These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies and elevated dew points, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to clearer, drier nights. Recent model runs show the daily minimum likely occurring in the early morning hours, with Central Park and airport sites projected around 70–71°F as the most probable range.
Trader positioning on 70–71°F (37.5%) and 72–73°F (27%) aligns with this consensus, while the notable share on 78°F or higher may reflect uncertainty around storm timing or localized urban heat retention. Historical August lows in NYC often fall in the mid-to-upper 60s under similar patterns, but the current setup favors warmer readings. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations on August 27 will provide the decisive data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$285結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate an overnight low for August 27 near 70–74°F in New York City, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and expected thunderstorms.** These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies and elevated dew points, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to clearer, drier nights. Recent model runs show the daily minimum likely occurring in the early morning hours, with Central Park and airport sites projected around 70–71°F as the most probable range. Trader positioning on 70–71°F (37.5%) and 72–73°F (27%) aligns with this consensus, while the notable share on 78°F or higher may reflect uncertainty around storm timing or localized urban heat retention. Historical August lows in NYC often fall in the mid-to-upper 60s under similar patterns, but the current setup favors warmer readings. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations on August 27 will provide the decisive data for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions