Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Seattle on August 29 most likely in the 54–55°F range, driven by an incoming low-pressure system producing widespread cloud cover, light rain, and southerly winds that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. These conditions follow a period of gradual clearing on August 28, with dew points remaining elevated near 52–55°F and minimal wind shear, keeping surface temperatures from dropping further. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 54–55°F because official point forecasts consistently resolve in the mid-50s, though minor shifts in the timing of showers or marine air intrusion could push the observed low into the adjacent 52–53°F or 56–57°F bins. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the morning of August 29 will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日西雅圖的最低溫度?
54-55華氏度 42%
56-57°F 37%
52-53°F 16%
47°F或以下 15%
47°F或以下
15%
48-49°F
14%
50-51°F
10%
52-53°F
16%
54-55華氏度
42%
56-57°F
37%
58-59°F
12%
60-61°F
14%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
13%
66°F或以上
8%
54-55華氏度 42%
56-57°F 37%
52-53°F 16%
47°F或以下 15%
47°F或以下
15%
48-49°F
14%
50-51°F
10%
52-53°F
16%
54-55華氏度
42%
56-57°F
37%
58-59°F
12%
60-61°F
14%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
13%
66°F或以上
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Seattle on August 29 most likely in the 54–55°F range, driven by an incoming low-pressure system producing widespread cloud cover, light rain, and southerly winds that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. These conditions follow a period of gradual clearing on August 28, with dew points remaining elevated near 52–55°F and minimal wind shear, keeping surface temperatures from dropping further. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 54–55°F because official point forecasts consistently resolve in the mid-50s, though minor shifts in the timing of showers or marine air intrusion could push the observed low into the adjacent 52–53°F or 56–57°F bins. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the morning of August 29 will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions