Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a hot but potentially moderated day in Houston on August 27, with forecast highs clustered in the upper 90s amid lingering high pressure and increasing Gulf moisture. A 30-40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms could produce cloud cover and evaporative cooling that caps temperatures below the 100°F+ readings seen earlier in the week, explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 94–97°F. Southerly flow and dew points near 70°F will sustain high heat indices near 108°F where skies remain clear, yet any organized convection or earlier cloud build-up would favor the lower end of the range. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will be the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日休斯敦的最高溫度?
94-95°F 35%
96-97°F 30%
98-99°F 14%
92-93°F 11%
89°F或以下
1%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
30%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
攝氏108度或更高
<1%
94-95°F 35%
96-97°F 30%
98-99°F 14%
92-93°F 11%
89°F或以下
1%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
30%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
攝氏108度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a hot but potentially moderated day in Houston on August 27, with forecast highs clustered in the upper 90s amid lingering high pressure and increasing Gulf moisture. A 30-40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms could produce cloud cover and evaporative cooling that caps temperatures below the 100°F+ readings seen earlier in the week, explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 94–97°F. Southerly flow and dew points near 70°F will sustain high heat indices near 108°F where skies remain clear, yet any organized convection or earlier cloud build-up would favor the lower end of the range. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will be the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions