**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a sunny, hot day with a high near 100°F under high pressure and light southwesterly winds.** This setup favors maximum temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with the market-implied odds heavily favoring the 98–101°F range. Recent days have featured observed highs of 100–103°F amid above-normal August conditions (typical late-month normals near 93–94°F), with no significant cooling expected overnight or through the 26th. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and heat indices exceeding 107°F, supporting limited variability in the daily maximum. Traders appear to weigh the latest NWS guidance and persistent heat-wave pattern most heavily, while assigning low probability to outliers outside 96–103°F given the stable atmospheric conditions. Updated model runs or any unexpected cloud cover could still shift the exact peak within that narrow band before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日休斯敦的最高溫度？
8月26日休斯敦的最高溫度？
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 38%
96-97°F 5%
102-103°F 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
57%
100-101°F
38%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 38%
96-97°F 5%
102-103°F 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
91°F or below
$437 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$285 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$282 交易量
1%
96-97°F
$416 交易量
5%
98-99°F
$1,339 交易量
57%
100-101°F
$658 交易量
38%
102-103°F
$268 交易量
3%
104-105°F
$127 交易量
1%
106-107°F
$164 交易量
1%
108-109°F
$343 交易量
<1%
110°F or higher
$474 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a sunny, hot day with a high near 100°F under high pressure and light southwesterly winds.** This setup favors maximum temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with the market-implied odds heavily favoring the 98–101°F range. Recent days have featured observed highs of 100–103°F amid above-normal August conditions (typical late-month normals near 93–94°F), with no significant cooling expected overnight or through the 26th.
Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and heat indices exceeding 107°F, supporting limited variability in the daily maximum. Traders appear to weigh the latest NWS guidance and persistent heat-wave pattern most heavily, while assigning low probability to outliers outside 96–103°F given the stable atmospheric conditions. Updated model runs or any unexpected cloud cover could still shift the exact peak within that narrow band before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
交易量
$4,791結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a sunny, hot day with a high near 100°F under high pressure and light southwesterly winds.** This setup favors maximum temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with the market-implied odds heavily favoring the 98–101°F range. Recent days have featured observed highs of 100–103°F amid above-normal August conditions (typical late-month normals near 93–94°F), with no significant cooling expected overnight or through the 26th.
Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and heat indices exceeding 107°F, supporting limited variability in the daily maximum. Traders appear to weigh the latest NWS guidance and persistent heat-wave pattern most heavily, while assigning low probability to outliers outside 96–103°F given the stable atmospheric conditions. Updated model runs or any unexpected cloud cover could still shift the exact peak within that narrow band before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,791結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a sunny, hot day with a high near 100°F under high pressure and light southwesterly winds.** This setup favors maximum temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with the market-implied odds heavily favoring the 98–101°F range. Recent days have featured observed highs of 100–103°F amid above-normal August conditions (typical late-month normals near 93–94°F), with no significant cooling expected overnight or through the 26th. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and heat indices exceeding 107°F, supporting limited variability in the daily maximum. Traders appear to weigh the latest NWS guidance and persistent heat-wave pattern most heavily, while assigning low probability to outliers outside 96–103°F given the stable atmospheric conditions. Updated model runs or any unexpected cloud cover could still shift the exact peak within that narrow band before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions