Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Central Park indicate a forecast overnight low in the mid-to-upper 60s on August 24, driven by a weak frontal passage and modest northerly flow that limits daytime heating and allows radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF show minimum temperatures clustered between 64–70 °F, with the tightest probabilities centering on 66–69 °F bins that together command roughly two-thirds of trader volume. Historical climatology places the August average low near 67 °F, so the current outlook reflects a slight cool anomaly consistent with the observed dew-point drop and reduced southerly moisture transport. With resolution dependent on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the NWS station, further model updates and tonight’s observations will determine whether the distribution shifts toward the 64–65 °F or 68–69 °F outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日紐約市的最低溫度?
68-69°F 34%
66-67°F 31%
64-65°F 23%
70-71°F 6%
55°F或以下
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
23%
66-67°F
31%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
3%
華氏74度或以上
2%
68-69°F 34%
66-67°F 31%
64-65°F 23%
70-71°F 6%
55°F或以下
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
23%
66-67°F
31%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
3%
華氏74度或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Central Park indicate a forecast overnight low in the mid-to-upper 60s on August 24, driven by a weak frontal passage and modest northerly flow that limits daytime heating and allows radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF show minimum temperatures clustered between 64–70 °F, with the tightest probabilities centering on 66–69 °F bins that together command roughly two-thirds of trader volume. Historical climatology places the August average low near 67 °F, so the current outlook reflects a slight cool anomaly consistent with the observed dew-point drop and reduced southerly moisture transport. With resolution dependent on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the NWS station, further model updates and tonight’s observations will determine whether the distribution shifts toward the 64–65 °F or 68–69 °F outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions