Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a Tuesday night low in the mid-60s for Chicago, driven by light south winds, partly to mostly cloudy skies, and dew points near 60°F that limit radiational cooling. These conditions favor modest overnight temperature drops of 15–20°F from daytime highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s, with the urban heat island and Lake Michigan moderation preventing deeper cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 58–63°F ranges because small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can alter the minimum by several degrees, while lower-probability outcomes below 55°F would require stronger clear-sky radiative losses and calmer conditions than currently modeled. Historical August 25 averages near 65°F provide context for the mild expected minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥8月25日的最低溫度？
芝加哥8月25日的最低溫度？
49°F or below 51%
56-57°F 27%
62-63°F 27%
58-59°F 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
49°F or below
51%
50-51°F
5%
52-53°F
9%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
32%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
2%
68°F or higher
1%
49°F or below 51%
56-57°F 27%
62-63°F 27%
58-59°F 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
49°F or below
$20 交易量
51%
50-51°F
$196 交易量
5%
52-53°F
$150 交易量
9%
54-55°F
$5 交易量
26%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
27%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
26%
60-61°F
$16 交易量
32%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
27%
64-65°F
$61 交易量
5%
66-67°F
$150 交易量
2%
68°F or higher
$150 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a Tuesday night low in the mid-60s for Chicago, driven by light south winds, partly to mostly cloudy skies, and dew points near 60°F that limit radiational cooling. These conditions favor modest overnight temperature drops of 15–20°F from daytime highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s, with the urban heat island and Lake Michigan moderation preventing deeper cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 58–63°F ranges because small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can alter the minimum by several degrees, while lower-probability outcomes below 55°F would require stronger clear-sky radiative losses and calmer conditions than currently modeled. Historical August 25 averages near 65°F provide context for the mild expected minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$748結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a Tuesday night low in the mid-60s for Chicago, driven by light south winds, partly to mostly cloudy skies, and dew points near 60°F that limit radiational cooling. These conditions favor modest overnight temperature drops of 15–20°F from daytime highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s, with the urban heat island and Lake Michigan moderation preventing deeper cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 58–63°F ranges because small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can alter the minimum by several degrees, while lower-probability outcomes below 55°F would require stronger clear-sky radiative losses and calmer conditions than currently modeled. Historical August 25 averages near 65°F provide context for the mild expected minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$748結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETForecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a Tuesday night low in the mid-60s for Chicago, driven by light south winds, partly to mostly cloudy skies, and dew points near 60°F that limit radiational cooling. These conditions favor modest overnight temperature drops of 15–20°F from daytime highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s, with the urban heat island and Lake Michigan moderation preventing deeper cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 58–63°F ranges because small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can alter the minimum by several degrees, while lower-probability outcomes below 55°F would require stronger clear-sky radiative losses and calmer conditions than currently modeled. Historical August 25 averages near 65°F provide context for the mild expected minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions