**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models centers the overnight low for Chicago on August 23 around 58–62°F under mostly clear skies.** Clear conditions overnight will promote radiative cooling after a sunny day with highs near 74–76°F. Light north-to-northwest winds of 5–10 mph will limit mixing while dew points in the mid-50s cap how far temperatures can fall. Ensemble guidance and NWS point forecasts show tight clustering in the upper 50s to low 60s, matching the market’s leading bins of 60–61°F (35%) and 58–59°F (30%). Recent model runs have remained stable, with no significant shifts in the air mass or cloud cover expected. Historical late-August normals (lows near 66°F) underscore that the current pattern is slightly cooler than average but well within seasonal bounds. Traders are pricing the narrow uncertainty range between official guidance and minor local variations near the lakefront versus O’Hare.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥8月23日的最低溫度？
芝加哥8月23日的最低溫度？
60-61°F 40%
68-69°F 38%
58-59°F 33%
56-57°F 22%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
51°F或以下
2%
52-53°F
8%
54-55°F
10%
56-57°F
22%
58-59°F
33%
60-61°F
40%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
38%
70°F或更高
8%
60-61°F 40%
68-69°F 38%
58-59°F 33%
56-57°F 22%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
51°F或以下
$6 交易量
2%
52-53°F
$6 交易量
8%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
10%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
22%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
33%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
40%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
22%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
9%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
8%
68-69°F
$20 交易量
38%
70°F或更高
$45 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models centers the overnight low for Chicago on August 23 around 58–62°F under mostly clear skies.**
Clear conditions overnight will promote radiative cooling after a sunny day with highs near 74–76°F. Light north-to-northwest winds of 5–10 mph will limit mixing while dew points in the mid-50s cap how far temperatures can fall. Ensemble guidance and NWS point forecasts show tight clustering in the upper 50s to low 60s, matching the market’s leading bins of 60–61°F (35%) and 58–59°F (30%).
Recent model runs have remained stable, with no significant shifts in the air mass or cloud cover expected. Historical late-August normals (lows near 66°F) underscore that the current pattern is slightly cooler than average but well within seasonal bounds. Traders are pricing the narrow uncertainty range between official guidance and minor local variations near the lakefront versus O’Hare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$77結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models centers the overnight low for Chicago on August 23 around 58–62°F under mostly clear skies.**
Clear conditions overnight will promote radiative cooling after a sunny day with highs near 74–76°F. Light north-to-northwest winds of 5–10 mph will limit mixing while dew points in the mid-50s cap how far temperatures can fall. Ensemble guidance and NWS point forecasts show tight clustering in the upper 50s to low 60s, matching the market’s leading bins of 60–61°F (35%) and 58–59°F (30%).
Recent model runs have remained stable, with no significant shifts in the air mass or cloud cover expected. Historical late-August normals (lows near 66°F) underscore that the current pattern is slightly cooler than average but well within seasonal bounds. Traders are pricing the narrow uncertainty range between official guidance and minor local variations near the lakefront versus O’Hare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$77結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models centers the overnight low for Chicago on August 23 around 58–62°F under mostly clear skies.** Clear conditions overnight will promote radiative cooling after a sunny day with highs near 74–76°F. Light north-to-northwest winds of 5–10 mph will limit mixing while dew points in the mid-50s cap how far temperatures can fall. Ensemble guidance and NWS point forecasts show tight clustering in the upper 50s to low 60s, matching the market’s leading bins of 60–61°F (35%) and 58–59°F (30%). Recent model runs have remained stable, with no significant shifts in the air mass or cloud cover expected. Historical late-August normals (lows near 66°F) underscore that the current pattern is slightly cooler than average but well within seasonal bounds. Traders are pricing the narrow uncertainty range between official guidance and minor local variations near the lakefront versus O’Hare.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions