**Northwest winds and a post-frontal air mass are positioning Chicago for a high temperature near 74°F on August 23, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service guidance of sunny skies and highs around 74°F under 10–15 mph north-northwest flow.** This setup favors the market’s leading 74–75°F bin (48.5% implied probability) by limiting daytime heating relative to August climatology of ~82°F. Lake Michigan moderation and residual cloud debris from earlier showers further cap warming, keeping 76–77°F (35%) as a plausible secondary outcome if insolation exceeds model assumptions. Recent model consensus from NWS and private forecasters shows little spread, with no warm advection or subsidence expected before the daily maximum. Traders are therefore concentrating probability in the mid-70s range, reflecting the tight forecast envelope and low likelihood of outliers above 78°F or below 72°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥8月23日的最高溫度？
芝加哥8月23日的最高溫度？
74-75°F 49%
76-77°F 35%
72-73°F 9%
78-79°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F或以上
<1%
74-75°F 49%
76-77°F 35%
72-73°F 9%
78-79°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
65°F或以下
$213 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$175 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$213 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$168 交易量
2%
72-73°F
$408 交易量
9%
74-75°F
$660 交易量
49%
76-77°F
$404 交易量
35%
78-79°F
$467 交易量
8%
80-81°F
$225 交易量
2%
82-83°F
$115 交易量
<1%
84°F或以上
$117 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northwest winds and a post-frontal air mass are positioning Chicago for a high temperature near 74°F on August 23, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service guidance of sunny skies and highs around 74°F under 10–15 mph north-northwest flow.** This setup favors the market’s leading 74–75°F bin (48.5% implied probability) by limiting daytime heating relative to August climatology of ~82°F. Lake Michigan moderation and residual cloud debris from earlier showers further cap warming, keeping 76–77°F (35%) as a plausible secondary outcome if insolation exceeds model assumptions. Recent model consensus from NWS and private forecasters shows little spread, with no warm advection or subsidence expected before the daily maximum. Traders are therefore concentrating probability in the mid-70s range, reflecting the tight forecast envelope and low likelihood of outliers above 78°F or below 72°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$3,167結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northwest winds and a post-frontal air mass are positioning Chicago for a high temperature near 74°F on August 23, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service guidance of sunny skies and highs around 74°F under 10–15 mph north-northwest flow.** This setup favors the market’s leading 74–75°F bin (48.5% implied probability) by limiting daytime heating relative to August climatology of ~82°F. Lake Michigan moderation and residual cloud debris from earlier showers further cap warming, keeping 76–77°F (35%) as a plausible secondary outcome if insolation exceeds model assumptions. Recent model consensus from NWS and private forecasters shows little spread, with no warm advection or subsidence expected before the daily maximum. Traders are therefore concentrating probability in the mid-70s range, reflecting the tight forecast envelope and low likelihood of outliers above 78°F or below 72°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,167結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET**Northwest winds and a post-frontal air mass are positioning Chicago for a high temperature near 74°F on August 23, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service guidance of sunny skies and highs around 74°F under 10–15 mph north-northwest flow.** This setup favors the market’s leading 74–75°F bin (48.5% implied probability) by limiting daytime heating relative to August climatology of ~82°F. Lake Michigan moderation and residual cloud debris from earlier showers further cap warming, keeping 76–77°F (35%) as a plausible secondary outcome if insolation exceeds model assumptions. Recent model consensus from NWS and private forecasters shows little spread, with no warm advection or subsidence expected before the daily maximum. Traders are therefore concentrating probability in the mid-70s range, reflecting the tight forecast envelope and low likelihood of outliers above 78°F or below 72°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions