Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for Chicago on August 22 indicate an overnight low in the mid-60s, aligning closely with 1991–2020 climatological normals of 64.6°F and the broader August range of 62–70°F. A moderating airmass following recent frontal passages, combined with light north-northeast winds and clear to partly cloudy skies, supports radiative cooling to these levels without significant deviation from seasonal baselines. Trader consensus reflected in the 66–67°F (44.5%) and 64–65°F (28%) brackets captures this central tendency, while lower-probability tails account for potential model spread or localized urban heat effects. Updated short-range forecasts expected tonight will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥8月22日的最低溫度?
66-67°F 45%
64-65°F 29%
62-63°F 28%
60-61°F 27%
55°F或以下
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
29%
66-67°F
45%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
2%
華氏74度或以上
1%
66-67°F 45%
64-65°F 29%
62-63°F 28%
60-61°F 27%
55°F或以下
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
29%
66-67°F
45%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
2%
華氏74度或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for Chicago on August 22 indicate an overnight low in the mid-60s, aligning closely with 1991–2020 climatological normals of 64.6°F and the broader August range of 62–70°F. A moderating airmass following recent frontal passages, combined with light north-northeast winds and clear to partly cloudy skies, supports radiative cooling to these levels without significant deviation from seasonal baselines. Trader consensus reflected in the 66–67°F (44.5%) and 64–65°F (28%) brackets captures this central tendency, while lower-probability tails account for potential model spread or localized urban heat effects. Updated short-range forecasts expected tonight will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions