Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 22 will likely settle near 23–24 °C, explaining the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Elevated dew points near 24 °C and persistent southerly flow maintain high atmospheric moisture, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. This setup contrasts with the historical August average low of 21 °C and suppresses the chance of deeper drops below 22 °C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty tied to exact thunderstorm timing and cloud cover, which could shift the realized minimum by 1–2 °C depending on the final steering pattern and boundary-layer mixing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日北京最低溫度？
8月22日北京最低溫度？
23°C 34%
22°C 27%
25°C 26%
26°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
19°C or below
9%
20°C
9%
21°C
18%
22°C
27%
23°C
34%
24°C
35%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
10%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
23°C 34%
22°C 27%
25°C 26%
26°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
19°C or below
$86 交易量
9%
20°C
$103 交易量
9%
21°C
$43 交易量
18%
22°C
$0 交易量
27%
23°C
$1 交易量
34%
24°C
$16 交易量
35%
25°C
$0 交易量
26%
26°C
$0 交易量
26%
27°C
$88 交易量
10%
28°C
$21 交易量
1%
29°C or higher
$30 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 22 will likely settle near 23–24 °C, explaining the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Elevated dew points near 24 °C and persistent southerly flow maintain high atmospheric moisture, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. This setup contrasts with the historical August average low of 21 °C and suppresses the chance of deeper drops below 22 °C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty tied to exact thunderstorm timing and cloud cover, which could shift the realized minimum by 1–2 °C depending on the final steering pattern and boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
交易量
$387結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 22 will likely settle near 23–24 °C, explaining the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Elevated dew points near 24 °C and persistent southerly flow maintain high atmospheric moisture, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. This setup contrasts with the historical August average low of 21 °C and suppresses the chance of deeper drops below 22 °C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty tied to exact thunderstorm timing and cloud cover, which could shift the realized minimum by 1–2 °C depending on the final steering pattern and boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$387結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 22 will likely settle near 23–24 °C, explaining the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Elevated dew points near 24 °C and persistent southerly flow maintain high atmospheric moisture, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. This setup contrasts with the historical August average low of 21 °C and suppresses the chance of deeper drops below 22 °C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty tied to exact thunderstorm timing and cloud cover, which could shift the realized minimum by 1–2 °C depending on the final steering pattern and boundary-layer mixing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions