Recent forecast models from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service highlighted a passing cold front and scattered thunderstorms on August 23, 2026, suppressing daytime heating while enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling under clearing skies. These conditions created uncertainty around the daily minimum, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 15°C amid moderate winds and residual moisture. Historical August climatology for Toronto shows typical minima of 16–18°C, making the tight market split between 14°C and sub-10°C outcomes reflect trader weighting of model spread in boundary-layer temperature and storm timing. Updated runs ahead of resolution emphasized how wind-driven mixing versus calm radiative nights could shift the observed low by several degrees.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日多倫多氣溫最低？
8月23日多倫多氣溫最低？
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
12°C 1.0%
$2,298 交易量
$2,298 交易量
2026-08-23
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
12°C 1.0%
$2,298 交易量
$2,298 交易量
2026-08-23
10°C or below
$15 交易量
No
11°C
$85 交易量
No
12°C
$5 交易量
No
13°C
$5 交易量
No
14°C
$194 交易量
Yes
15°C
$185 交易量
No
16°C
$185 交易量
No
17°C
$105 交易量
No
18°C
$265 交易量
No
19°C
$105 交易量
No
20°C or higher
$1,150 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service highlighted a passing cold front and scattered thunderstorms on August 23, 2026, suppressing daytime heating while enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling under clearing skies. These conditions created uncertainty around the daily minimum, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 15°C amid moderate winds and residual moisture. Historical August climatology for Toronto shows typical minima of 16–18°C, making the tight market split between 14°C and sub-10°C outcomes reflect trader weighting of model spread in boundary-layer temperature and storm timing. Updated runs ahead of resolution emphasized how wind-driven mixing versus calm radiative nights could shift the observed low by several degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$2,298結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service highlighted a passing cold front and scattered thunderstorms on August 23, 2026, suppressing daytime heating while enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling under clearing skies. These conditions created uncertainty around the daily minimum, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 15°C amid moderate winds and residual moisture. Historical August climatology for Toronto shows typical minima of 16–18°C, making the tight market split between 14°C and sub-10°C outcomes reflect trader weighting of model spread in boundary-layer temperature and storm timing. Updated runs ahead of resolution emphasized how wind-driven mixing versus calm radiative nights could shift the observed low by several degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,298結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent forecast models from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service highlighted a passing cold front and scattered thunderstorms on August 23, 2026, suppressing daytime heating while enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling under clearing skies. These conditions created uncertainty around the daily minimum, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 15°C amid moderate winds and residual moisture. Historical August climatology for Toronto shows typical minima of 16–18°C, making the tight market split between 14°C and sub-10°C outcomes reflect trader weighting of model spread in boundary-layer temperature and storm timing. Updated runs ahead of resolution emphasized how wind-driven mixing versus calm radiative nights could shift the observed low by several degrees.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions