**Forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and other models indicate a peak temperature near 17–18°C for Buenos Aires on August 27, driven by southeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover with morning thunderstorms or showers that reduce solar insolation.** Afternoon clearing could allow modest diurnal warming, yet high humidity and light winds limit the potential for significant temperature spikes. Late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere feature typical daily ranges of roughly 10–18°C, with model consensus placing the daily maximum in the upper teens Celsius. Trader weighting toward 18–19°C reflects uncertainty in exact peak readings from official stations, timing of any convective cooling, and minor variations across ensemble forecasts. Upcoming model updates from the SMN and NWP centers will refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
19°C 36%
18°C 28%
20°C 18%
17°C 11%
14°C or below
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
11%
18°C
28%
19°C
36%
20°C
18%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
2%
19°C 36%
18°C 28%
20°C 18%
17°C 11%
14°C or below
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
11%
18°C
28%
19°C
36%
20°C
18%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and other models indicate a peak temperature near 17–18°C for Buenos Aires on August 27, driven by southeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover with morning thunderstorms or showers that reduce solar insolation.** Afternoon clearing could allow modest diurnal warming, yet high humidity and light winds limit the potential for significant temperature spikes. Late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere feature typical daily ranges of roughly 10–18°C, with model consensus placing the daily maximum in the upper teens Celsius. Trader weighting toward 18–19°C reflects uncertainty in exact peak readings from official stations, timing of any convective cooling, and minor variations across ensemble forecasts. Upcoming model updates from the SMN and NWP centers will refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions