Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models converge on a sunny day with highs in the upper 90s for Austin on August 29, driven by southerly winds advecting warm, moist air under high pressure with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This positions the 98-99°F and 100-101°F bins as market leaders, consistent with late-August climatology where daily maxima average near 96°F but frequently reach the century mark amid ongoing heat. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, though afternoon temperatures remain sensitive to exact boundary-layer mixing and any localized heating. Traders weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against the narrow window for an outlier spike or underperformance before evening cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
8月29日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
98-99°F 55%
100-101°F 24%
96-97°F 12%
102-103°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
12%
98-99°F
55%
100-101°F
24%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F或更高
<1%
98-99°F 55%
100-101°F 24%
96-97°F 12%
102-103°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
89°F或以下
$270 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$235 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$250 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$353 交易量
3%
96-97°F
$671 交易量
12%
98-99°F
$2,654 交易量
55%
100-101°F
$1,783 交易量
24%
102-103°F
$374 交易量
5%
104-105°F
$197 交易量
1%
106-107°F
$120 交易量
<1%
108°F或更高
$267 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models converge on a sunny day with highs in the upper 90s for Austin on August 29, driven by southerly winds advecting warm, moist air under high pressure with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This positions the 98-99°F and 100-101°F bins as market leaders, consistent with late-August climatology where daily maxima average near 96°F but frequently reach the century mark amid ongoing heat. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, though afternoon temperatures remain sensitive to exact boundary-layer mixing and any localized heating. Traders weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against the narrow window for an outlier spike or underperformance before evening cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$7,156結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models converge on a sunny day with highs in the upper 90s for Austin on August 29, driven by southerly winds advecting warm, moist air under high pressure with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This positions the 98-99°F and 100-101°F bins as market leaders, consistent with late-August climatology where daily maxima average near 96°F but frequently reach the century mark amid ongoing heat. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, though afternoon temperatures remain sensitive to exact boundary-layer mixing and any localized heating. Traders weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against the narrow window for an outlier spike or underperformance before evening cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,156結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETOfficial forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models converge on a sunny day with highs in the upper 90s for Austin on August 29, driven by southerly winds advecting warm, moist air under high pressure with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This positions the 98-99°F and 100-101°F bins as market leaders, consistent with late-August climatology where daily maxima average near 96°F but frequently reach the century mark amid ongoing heat. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, though afternoon temperatures remain sensitive to exact boundary-layer mixing and any localized heating. Traders weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against the narrow window for an outlier spike or underperformance before evening cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions