Current meteorological forecasts for Warsaw on September 7, 2026, from sources including Meteoprog, Yr.no, and the Met Office, converge on a daytime maximum of 19–20°C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds shifting southeast, and building high pressure that limits daytime heating. These conditions align closely with early September climatology for the region, where typical highs range 18–22°C absent strong advection or clear-sky amplification. Model consensus shows minimal spread and no significant warm anomalies expected overnight or during peak insolation hours, positioning 20°C and 21°C as the market’s leading outcomes with combined implied probabilities exceeding 80%. Updated runs tomorrow morning from official agencies will refine the exact peak before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日華沙的最高溫度?
21°C 51%
20°C 33%
22°C 11%
19°C 5%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
33%
21°C
51%
22°C
11%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C或以上
<1%
21°C 51%
20°C 33%
22°C 11%
19°C 5%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
33%
21°C
51%
22°C
11%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current meteorological forecasts for Warsaw on September 7, 2026, from sources including Meteoprog, Yr.no, and the Met Office, converge on a daytime maximum of 19–20°C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds shifting southeast, and building high pressure that limits daytime heating. These conditions align closely with early September climatology for the region, where typical highs range 18–22°C absent strong advection or clear-sky amplification. Model consensus shows minimal spread and no significant warm anomalies expected overnight or during peak insolation hours, positioning 20°C and 21°C as the market’s leading outcomes with combined implied probabilities exceeding 80%. Updated runs tomorrow morning from official agencies will refine the exact peak before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions