Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models point to a high of 12–13°C in Moscow on September 7, driven by northwesterly winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a frontal passage, combined with persistent cloud cover and light precipitation that limits daytime heating. This setup follows several days of unsettled conditions, keeping temperatures well below the long-term September 7 average high of 18°C. Model consensus favors a narrow range around these values, with limited upside potential absent a rapid shift in steering flow. Trader-implied probabilities, led by 12°C at 41.5% followed by 13°C and 11°C, align with this evidence-based outlook while incorporating residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local microclimatic effects. Updated model runs and official briefings from the Hydrometeorological Center remain key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日莫斯科最高溫度？
9月7日莫斯科最高溫度？
12°C 42%
13°C 23%
11°C 22%
14°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
6°C或以下
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
6%
11°C
22%
12°C
42%
13°C
23%
14°C
7%
15°C
1%
16°C或以上
1%
12°C 42%
13°C 23%
11°C 22%
14°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
6°C或以下
$437 交易量
<1%
7°C
$339 交易量
<1%
8°C
$202 交易量
1%
9°C
$115 交易量
3%
10°C
$155 交易量
6%
11°C
$342 交易量
22%
12°C
$382 交易量
42%
13°C
$73 交易量
23%
14°C
$46 交易量
7%
15°C
$101 交易量
1%
16°C或以上
$180 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models point to a high of 12–13°C in Moscow on September 7, driven by northwesterly winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a frontal passage, combined with persistent cloud cover and light precipitation that limits daytime heating. This setup follows several days of unsettled conditions, keeping temperatures well below the long-term September 7 average high of 18°C. Model consensus favors a narrow range around these values, with limited upside potential absent a rapid shift in steering flow. Trader-implied probabilities, led by 12°C at 41.5% followed by 13°C and 11°C, align with this evidence-based outlook while incorporating residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local microclimatic effects. Updated model runs and official briefings from the Hydrometeorological Center remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$2,373結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models point to a high of 12–13°C in Moscow on September 7, driven by northwesterly winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a frontal passage, combined with persistent cloud cover and light precipitation that limits daytime heating. This setup follows several days of unsettled conditions, keeping temperatures well below the long-term September 7 average high of 18°C. Model consensus favors a narrow range around these values, with limited upside potential absent a rapid shift in steering flow. Trader-implied probabilities, led by 12°C at 41.5% followed by 13°C and 11°C, align with this evidence-based outlook while incorporating residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local microclimatic effects. Updated model runs and official briefings from the Hydrometeorological Center remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,373結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models point to a high of 12–13°C in Moscow on September 7, driven by northwesterly winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a frontal passage, combined with persistent cloud cover and light precipitation that limits daytime heating. This setup follows several days of unsettled conditions, keeping temperatures well below the long-term September 7 average high of 18°C. Model consensus favors a narrow range around these values, with limited upside potential absent a rapid shift in steering flow. Trader-implied probabilities, led by 12°C at 41.5% followed by 13°C and 11°C, align with this evidence-based outlook while incorporating residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local microclimatic effects. Updated model runs and official briefings from the Hydrometeorological Center remain key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions