Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS places Chongqing’s September 8 maximum near 37–38 °C amid a persistent heat wave, with surface observations showing recent daily highs of 35–38 °C and minimal overnight cooling. Light southerly winds, low humidity around 35–45 %, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies favor strong daytime heating, though scattered thunderstorms could cap temperatures near 37 °C in some runs. The tight market split between 37 °C and 38 °C reflects this narrow range of forecast outcomes and the sensitivity of the peak to small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any convection before resolution. Updated high-resolution model guidance and official Chinese meteorological briefings expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日重慶氣溫最高？
9月8日重慶氣溫最高？
38°C 36%
37°C 30%
39°C 15%
36°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
32°C或以下
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
6%
36°C
12%
37°C
30%
38°C
36%
39°C
15%
40°C
6%
41°C
2%
42°C或以上
2%
38°C 36%
37°C 30%
39°C 15%
36°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
32°C或以下
$271 交易量
<1%
33°C
$115 交易量
<1%
34°C
$46 交易量
2%
35°C
$27 交易量
6%
36°C
$45 交易量
12%
37°C
$723 交易量
30%
38°C
$424 交易量
36%
39°C
$153 交易量
15%
40°C
$45 交易量
6%
41°C
$55 交易量
2%
42°C或以上
$200 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS places Chongqing’s September 8 maximum near 37–38 °C amid a persistent heat wave, with surface observations showing recent daily highs of 35–38 °C and minimal overnight cooling. Light southerly winds, low humidity around 35–45 %, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies favor strong daytime heating, though scattered thunderstorms could cap temperatures near 37 °C in some runs. The tight market split between 37 °C and 38 °C reflects this narrow range of forecast outcomes and the sensitivity of the peak to small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any convection before resolution. Updated high-resolution model guidance and official Chinese meteorological briefings expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$2,105結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS places Chongqing’s September 8 maximum near 37–38 °C amid a persistent heat wave, with surface observations showing recent daily highs of 35–38 °C and minimal overnight cooling. Light southerly winds, low humidity around 35–45 %, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies favor strong daytime heating, though scattered thunderstorms could cap temperatures near 37 °C in some runs. The tight market split between 37 °C and 38 °C reflects this narrow range of forecast outcomes and the sensitivity of the peak to small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any convection before resolution. Updated high-resolution model guidance and official Chinese meteorological briefings expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,105結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS places Chongqing’s September 8 maximum near 37–38 °C amid a persistent heat wave, with surface observations showing recent daily highs of 35–38 °C and minimal overnight cooling. Light southerly winds, low humidity around 35–45 %, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies favor strong daytime heating, though scattered thunderstorms could cap temperatures near 37 °C in some runs. The tight market split between 37 °C and 38 °C reflects this narrow range of forecast outcomes and the sensitivity of the peak to small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any convection before resolution. Updated high-resolution model guidance and official Chinese meteorological briefings expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions