Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate predominantly clear, sunny conditions over Cape Town on September 8 under a stable high-pressure ridge, supporting strong daytime heating with light variable winds and minimal cloud cover to limit solar insolation. This setup favors maximum temperatures clustering in the upper 20s Celsius, consistent with the tightly bunched market-implied odds around 27–29°C. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on exact wind shifts—such as a brief northwesterly component enhancing mixing versus calmer easterlies—or minor variations in boundary-layer moisture that could trim or boost peak values by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for the region average lower, but the current pattern aligns with occasional spring warm spells when subsidence dominates. Traders will watch the next South African Weather Service updates and refined model runs for any adjustments to the thermal profile before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日開普敦最高溫度？
9月8日開普敦最高溫度？
27°C 22%
28°C 22%
29°C 20%
23°C或以下 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
23°C或以下
17%
24°C
9%
25°C
9%
26°C
14%
27°C
22%
28°C
22%
29°C
18%
30°C
12%
31°C
8%
32°C
3%
33°C或以上
3%
27°C 22%
28°C 22%
29°C 20%
23°C或以下 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
23°C或以下
$4 交易量
17%
24°C
$5 交易量
9%
25°C
$20 交易量
9%
26°C
$61 交易量
14%
27°C
$76 交易量
22%
28°C
$5 交易量
22%
29°C
$91 交易量
18%
30°C
$30 交易量
12%
31°C
$0 交易量
8%
32°C
$0 交易量
3%
33°C或以上
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate predominantly clear, sunny conditions over Cape Town on September 8 under a stable high-pressure ridge, supporting strong daytime heating with light variable winds and minimal cloud cover to limit solar insolation. This setup favors maximum temperatures clustering in the upper 20s Celsius, consistent with the tightly bunched market-implied odds around 27–29°C. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on exact wind shifts—such as a brief northwesterly component enhancing mixing versus calmer easterlies—or minor variations in boundary-layer moisture that could trim or boost peak values by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for the region average lower, but the current pattern aligns with occasional spring warm spells when subsidence dominates. Traders will watch the next South African Weather Service updates and refined model runs for any adjustments to the thermal profile before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$294結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate predominantly clear, sunny conditions over Cape Town on September 8 under a stable high-pressure ridge, supporting strong daytime heating with light variable winds and minimal cloud cover to limit solar insolation. This setup favors maximum temperatures clustering in the upper 20s Celsius, consistent with the tightly bunched market-implied odds around 27–29°C. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on exact wind shifts—such as a brief northwesterly component enhancing mixing versus calmer easterlies—or minor variations in boundary-layer moisture that could trim or boost peak values by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for the region average lower, but the current pattern aligns with occasional spring warm spells when subsidence dominates. Traders will watch the next South African Weather Service updates and refined model runs for any adjustments to the thermal profile before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$294結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate predominantly clear, sunny conditions over Cape Town on September 8 under a stable high-pressure ridge, supporting strong daytime heating with light variable winds and minimal cloud cover to limit solar insolation. This setup favors maximum temperatures clustering in the upper 20s Celsius, consistent with the tightly bunched market-implied odds around 27–29°C. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on exact wind shifts—such as a brief northwesterly component enhancing mixing versus calmer easterlies—or minor variations in boundary-layer moisture that could trim or boost peak values by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for the region average lower, but the current pattern aligns with occasional spring warm spells when subsidence dominates. Traders will watch the next South African Weather Service updates and refined model runs for any adjustments to the thermal profile before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions