Current ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models point to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in Cape Town on September 7, driven by clear skies under a stable high-pressure system and light southwesterly winds that limit strong warming while allowing afternoon insolation. September climatology in the region favors gradual spring warming with typical maxima near 18–22°C, but recent subsidence has suppressed cloud cover and moisture, elevating surface temperatures. Sea-breeze moderation from the Atlantic and variable model spread on boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering around 27–29°C in trader pricing. The South African Weather Service’s next update and fresh model runs tonight will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official maximum readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日開普敦最高溫度？
9月7日開普敦最高溫度？
28°C 29%
27°C 25%
29°C 19%
26°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
13%
27°C
25%
28°C
29%
29°C
19%
30°C
10%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C或更高
<1%
28°C 29%
27°C 25%
29°C 19%
26°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
23°C或以下
$212 交易量
1%
24°C
$329 交易量
2%
25°C
$191 交易量
5%
26°C
$802 交易量
13%
27°C
$852 交易量
25%
28°C
$687 交易量
29%
29°C
$1,070 交易量
19%
30°C
$710 交易量
10%
31°C
$254 交易量
5%
32°C
$528 交易量
1%
33°C或更高
$359 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models point to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in Cape Town on September 7, driven by clear skies under a stable high-pressure system and light southwesterly winds that limit strong warming while allowing afternoon insolation. September climatology in the region favors gradual spring warming with typical maxima near 18–22°C, but recent subsidence has suppressed cloud cover and moisture, elevating surface temperatures. Sea-breeze moderation from the Atlantic and variable model spread on boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering around 27–29°C in trader pricing. The South African Weather Service’s next update and fresh model runs tonight will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$5,993結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models point to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in Cape Town on September 7, driven by clear skies under a stable high-pressure system and light southwesterly winds that limit strong warming while allowing afternoon insolation. September climatology in the region favors gradual spring warming with typical maxima near 18–22°C, but recent subsidence has suppressed cloud cover and moisture, elevating surface temperatures. Sea-breeze moderation from the Atlantic and variable model spread on boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering around 27–29°C in trader pricing. The South African Weather Service’s next update and fresh model runs tonight will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,993結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models point to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in Cape Town on September 7, driven by clear skies under a stable high-pressure system and light southwesterly winds that limit strong warming while allowing afternoon insolation. September climatology in the region favors gradual spring warming with typical maxima near 18–22°C, but recent subsidence has suppressed cloud cover and moisture, elevating surface temperatures. Sea-breeze moderation from the Atlantic and variable model spread on boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering around 27–29°C in trader pricing. The South African Weather Service’s next update and fresh model runs tonight will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official maximum readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions