Latest official meteorological observations from Turkish monitoring stations confirm a daily maximum of 24°C in Istanbul on September 8 under predominantly clear skies, light to moderate northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. Multiple forecast models converged on this value throughout the day, consistent with seasonal norms for early September when highs typically range 23–26°C. The 100% market-implied probability on 24°C reflects trader consensus anchored in real-time surface data and model agreement rather than projections. A last-minute revision in verified station readings or an unexpected localized heat spike could theoretically alter resolution, though current evidence shows no such deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
9月8日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
24°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$17,616 交易量
$17,616 交易量
2026-09-08
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
24°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$17,616 交易量
$17,616 交易量
2026-09-08
20°C或以下
$297 交易量
否
21°C
$385 交易量
否
22°C
$3,621 交易量
否
23°C
$2,079 交易量
否
24°C
$5,662 交易量
是
25°C
$3,033 交易量
否
26°C
$898 交易量
否
27°C
$775 交易量
否
28°C
$534 交易量
否
29°C
$161 交易量
否
30°C或以上
$171 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official meteorological observations from Turkish monitoring stations confirm a daily maximum of 24°C in Istanbul on September 8 under predominantly clear skies, light to moderate northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. Multiple forecast models converged on this value throughout the day, consistent with seasonal norms for early September when highs typically range 23–26°C. The 100% market-implied probability on 24°C reflects trader consensus anchored in real-time surface data and model agreement rather than projections. A last-minute revision in verified station readings or an unexpected localized heat spike could theoretically alter resolution, though current evidence shows no such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$17,616結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official meteorological observations from Turkish monitoring stations confirm a daily maximum of 24°C in Istanbul on September 8 under predominantly clear skies, light to moderate northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. Multiple forecast models converged on this value throughout the day, consistent with seasonal norms for early September when highs typically range 23–26°C. The 100% market-implied probability on 24°C reflects trader consensus anchored in real-time surface data and model agreement rather than projections. A last-minute revision in verified station readings or an unexpected localized heat spike could theoretically alter resolution, though current evidence shows no such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,616結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Latest official meteorological observations from Turkish monitoring stations confirm a daily maximum of 24°C in Istanbul on September 8 under predominantly clear skies, light to moderate northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. Multiple forecast models converged on this value throughout the day, consistent with seasonal norms for early September when highs typically range 23–26°C. The 100% market-implied probability on 24°C reflects trader consensus anchored in real-time surface data and model agreement rather than projections. A last-minute revision in verified station readings or an unexpected localized heat spike could theoretically alter resolution, though current evidence shows no such deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions