Recent official forecasts from China’s Central Meteorological Observatory and global models indicate a high near 27°C for Qingdao on September 8 under mostly sunny skies with northerly winds of 4–5 levels, a setup that favors modest daytime warming while limiting extreme peaks. Multiple model runs cluster tightly around 26–28°C, with slight differences arising from variable wind strength, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud cover that could trim the maximum by 1–2°C. This narrow spread, just days before resolution, explains why trader-implied probabilities remain closely matched across 26–29°C rather than consolidating on a single outcome. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the consensus ahead of market settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日青島氣溫最高？
9月8日青島氣溫最高？
27°C 24%
28°C 23%
26°C 20%
29°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
24°C或以下
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
20%
27°C
24%
28°C
23%
29°C
20%
30°C
11%
31°C
6%
32°C
15%
33°C
2%
34°C或以上
3%
27°C 24%
28°C 23%
26°C 20%
29°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
24°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
25°C
$0 交易量
6%
26°C
$0 交易量
20%
27°C
$0 交易量
24%
28°C
$0 交易量
23%
29°C
$5 交易量
20%
30°C
$109 交易量
11%
31°C
$15 交易量
6%
32°C
$0 交易量
15%
33°C
$0 交易量
2%
34°C或以上
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from China’s Central Meteorological Observatory and global models indicate a high near 27°C for Qingdao on September 8 under mostly sunny skies with northerly winds of 4–5 levels, a setup that favors modest daytime warming while limiting extreme peaks. Multiple model runs cluster tightly around 26–28°C, with slight differences arising from variable wind strength, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud cover that could trim the maximum by 1–2°C. This narrow spread, just days before resolution, explains why trader-implied probabilities remain closely matched across 26–29°C rather than consolidating on a single outcome. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the consensus ahead of market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$129結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from China’s Central Meteorological Observatory and global models indicate a high near 27°C for Qingdao on September 8 under mostly sunny skies with northerly winds of 4–5 levels, a setup that favors modest daytime warming while limiting extreme peaks. Multiple model runs cluster tightly around 26–28°C, with slight differences arising from variable wind strength, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud cover that could trim the maximum by 1–2°C. This narrow spread, just days before resolution, explains why trader-implied probabilities remain closely matched across 26–29°C rather than consolidating on a single outcome. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the consensus ahead of market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$129結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent official forecasts from China’s Central Meteorological Observatory and global models indicate a high near 27°C for Qingdao on September 8 under mostly sunny skies with northerly winds of 4–5 levels, a setup that favors modest daytime warming while limiting extreme peaks. Multiple model runs cluster tightly around 26–28°C, with slight differences arising from variable wind strength, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud cover that could trim the maximum by 1–2°C. This narrow spread, just days before resolution, explains why trader-implied probabilities remain closely matched across 26–29°C rather than consolidating on a single outcome. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the consensus ahead of market settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions