Recent forecast models from multiple sources indicate a daily maximum temperature in Shenzhen on September 7 most likely near 32°C, with scattered thunderstorms and high relative humidity around 70-85% limiting full solar heating. Persistent monsoon moisture and light variable winds favor afternoon convective development that could cap peaks at 31-33°C depending on storm timing and coverage. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where highs average near 32°C amid frequent rain. Traders appear to weigh the balance between drier morning conditions potentially allowing brief warming and widespread showers suppressing the daily high, with new model runs and official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies expected to refine resolution criteria before the close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日深圳最高溫度?
32°C 34%
31°C 27%
33°C 24%
30°C 11%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
11%
31°C
27%
32°C
34%
33°C
24%
34°C
6%
35°C
4%
36°C或更高
4%
32°C 34%
31°C 27%
33°C 24%
30°C 11%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
11%
31°C
27%
32°C
34%
33°C
24%
34°C
6%
35°C
4%
36°C或更高
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from multiple sources indicate a daily maximum temperature in Shenzhen on September 7 most likely near 32°C, with scattered thunderstorms and high relative humidity around 70-85% limiting full solar heating. Persistent monsoon moisture and light variable winds favor afternoon convective development that could cap peaks at 31-33°C depending on storm timing and coverage. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where highs average near 32°C amid frequent rain. Traders appear to weigh the balance between drier morning conditions potentially allowing brief warming and widespread showers suppressing the daily high, with new model runs and official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies expected to refine resolution criteria before the close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions