**Trader consensus on 26°C reflects verified meteorological observations from Istanbul on September 7, 2026, where official station data recorded a daily maximum of exactly that value under mostly clear skies, moderate northeast winds, and typical early-September conditions.** Forecast models from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles converged on a high near 26–27°C, with afternoon peaks aligning closely to observed readings around 27°C (81°F) before cooling. This near-certainty arises because the market resolves on post-event official measurements rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision once the day concludes. Realistic challenges remain minimal but could include station-specific calibration differences, microclimate variations across the city, or rare data-processing adjustments by the designated reporting authority, though such discrepancies are uncommon for well-monitored urban sites.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
9月7日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
26°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$17,216 交易量
$17,216 交易量
2026-09-07
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$17,216 交易量
$17,216 交易量
2026-09-07
22°C或以下
$192 交易量
否
23°C
$249 交易量
否
24°C
$926 交易量
否
25°C
$4,573 交易量
否
26°C
$4,221 交易量
是
27°C
$2,479 交易量
否
28°C
$3,117 交易量
否
29°C
$651 交易量
否
30°C
$185 交易量
否
31°C
$341 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$281 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on 26°C reflects verified meteorological observations from Istanbul on September 7, 2026, where official station data recorded a daily maximum of exactly that value under mostly clear skies, moderate northeast winds, and typical early-September conditions.**
Forecast models from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles converged on a high near 26–27°C, with afternoon peaks aligning closely to observed readings around 27°C (81°F) before cooling. This near-certainty arises because the market resolves on post-event official measurements rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision once the day concludes.
Realistic challenges remain minimal but could include station-specific calibration differences, microclimate variations across the city, or rare data-processing adjustments by the designated reporting authority, though such discrepancies are uncommon for well-monitored urban sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$17,216結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on 26°C reflects verified meteorological observations from Istanbul on September 7, 2026, where official station data recorded a daily maximum of exactly that value under mostly clear skies, moderate northeast winds, and typical early-September conditions.**
Forecast models from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles converged on a high near 26–27°C, with afternoon peaks aligning closely to observed readings around 27°C (81°F) before cooling. This near-certainty arises because the market resolves on post-event official measurements rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision once the day concludes.
Realistic challenges remain minimal but could include station-specific calibration differences, microclimate variations across the city, or rare data-processing adjustments by the designated reporting authority, though such discrepancies are uncommon for well-monitored urban sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,216結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus on 26°C reflects verified meteorological observations from Istanbul on September 7, 2026, where official station data recorded a daily maximum of exactly that value under mostly clear skies, moderate northeast winds, and typical early-September conditions.** Forecast models from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles converged on a high near 26–27°C, with afternoon peaks aligning closely to observed readings around 27°C (81°F) before cooling. This near-certainty arises because the market resolves on post-event official measurements rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision once the day concludes. Realistic challenges remain minimal but could include station-specific calibration differences, microclimate variations across the city, or rare data-processing adjustments by the designated reporting authority, though such discrepancies are uncommon for well-monitored urban sites.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions